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Chris Paddack

Minnesota Twins

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Boston Red Sox

01:35 PM

May 4, 2025

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Minnesota Twins

  • Projections
  • Props

Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: 125

Strikeouts 4.5 under: -165

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The Boston Red Sox (24.4% K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the 5th-most strikeout-prone team of batters of the day.

It is anticipated that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Austin Jones) in charge of the strike zone today.

Christian Vazquez, the Twins's expected catcher in today's game, projects as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which often leads to worse offense.

Because groundball pitchers hold a sizeable edge over groundball hitters, Chris Paddack and his 33.8% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a good spot in today's game facing 2 opposing GB hitters.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

Chris Paddack has been given less leash than the typical pitcher this year, throwing 6 fewer adjusted pitches-per-game than the average pitcher.

The #7 stadium in MLB for suppressing strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for batters.

Chris Paddack will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Chris Paddack is projected to have 4.4 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 15.5 over: 162

Pitching Outs 15.5 under: -225

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

It is anticipated that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Austin Jones) in charge of the strike zone today.

Christian Vazquez, the Twins's expected catcher in today's game, projects as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Among all major league stadiums, the 2nd-tallest fence height (on average) are at Fenway Park.

Because groundball pitchers hold a sizeable edge over groundball hitters, Chris Paddack and his 33.8% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a good spot in today's game facing 2 opposing GB hitters.

Chris Paddack has been unlucky since the start of last season, putting up a 5.13 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.54 — a 0.59 discrepancy.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

Chris Paddack has been given less leash than the typical pitcher this year, throwing 6 fewer adjusted pitches-per-game than the average pitcher.

The #2 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.

The shallowest LF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park.

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for batters.

Chris Paddack is projected to have 15.3 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: -165

Earned Runs 2.5 under: 120

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The #2 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.

The shallowest LF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park.

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for batters.

Chris Paddack will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

It is anticipated that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Austin Jones) in charge of the strike zone today.

Christian Vazquez, the Twins's expected catcher in today's game, projects as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Among all major league stadiums, the 2nd-tallest fence height (on average) are at Fenway Park.

Because groundball pitchers hold a sizeable edge over groundball hitters, Chris Paddack and his 33.8% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a good spot in today's game facing 2 opposing GB hitters.

Chris Paddack has been unlucky since the start of last season, putting up a 5.13 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.54 — a 0.59 discrepancy.

Chris Paddack is projected to have 3 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Chris Paddack Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars
Hits Allowed
ov 5.5 (-126)
un 5.5 (-111)
ov 5.5 (-130)
un 5.5 (-110)
-
ov 5.5 (-135)
un 5.5 (-105)
ov 5.5 (-125)
un 5.5 (-109)
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 2.5 (-161)
un 2.5 (117)
ov 2.5 (-165)
un 2.5 (120)
-
ov 2.5 (-160)
un 2.5 (115)
ov 2.5 (-166)
un 2.5 (120)
Total Outs Recorded
ov 15.5 (149)
un 15.5 (-209)
ov 15.5 (130)
un 15.5 (-180)
ov 15.5 (162)
un 15.5 (-225)
ov 15.5 (130)
un 15.5 (-190)
ov 15.5 (152)
un 15.5 (-214)
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 4.5 (120)
un 4.5 (-159)
ov 4.5 (125)
un 4.5 (-165)
ov 4.5 (112)
un 4.5 (-142)
ov 4.5 (125)
un 4.5 (-160)
ov 4.5 (116)
un 4.5 (-160)
Walks Allowed
ov 1.5 (-144)
un 1.5 (102)
ov 1.5 (-145)
un 1.5 (100)
-
-
ov 1.5 (-142)
un 1.5 (104)

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