Chris Paddack Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: 120

Strikeouts 4.5 under: -160

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The Houston Astros have 3 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Cam Smith, Jacob Melton, Brendan Rodgers).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Minute Maid Park as the 6th-best ballpark in MLB for strikeouts.

Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Ryan Jeffers (the Twins's expected catcher today) is considered to be a weak pitch framer.

Given that flyball pitchers are least effective against groundball hitters, Chris Paddack (33.9% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 3 GB hitters in Houston's projected batting order.

Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Chris Paddack in today's matchup.

Chris Paddack struggled when it came to striking batters out in his previous outing and notched 2 Ks.

Chris Paddack's four-seam fastball rate has increased by 6.8% from last year to this one (42.9% to 49.7%) .

Chris Paddack is projected to have 4.4 Strikeouts in today's game.

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -156

Pitching Outs 17.5 under: 125

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

Today’s version of the Astros projected offense is weaker than usual, as their .311 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA is considerably below their .324 overall projected rate.

Among all stadiums, the 3rd-highest average fence height are at Minute Maid Park.

The Houston Astros collectively rank 29th- overall in baseball this year as far as the maximum exit velocity of all of the baseballs their [HITTER}s have hit.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

The Houston Astros have been the 10th-unluckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in future games

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Ryan Jeffers (the Twins's expected catcher today) is considered to be a weak pitch framer.

The #10 stadium in MLB for boosting base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.

In the majors, Minute Maid Park's left field fences are the 2nd-shallowest.

Given that flyball pitchers are least effective against groundball hitters, Chris Paddack (33.9% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 3 GB hitters in Houston's projected batting order.

Chris Paddack is projected to have 16.7 Pitching Outs in today's game.

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: -110

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -120

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The Houston Astros have been the 10th-unluckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in future games

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Ryan Jeffers (the Twins's expected catcher today) is considered to be a weak pitch framer.

The #10 stadium in MLB for boosting base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.

In the majors, Minute Maid Park's left field fences are the 2nd-shallowest.

Given that flyball pitchers are least effective against groundball hitters, Chris Paddack (33.9% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 3 GB hitters in Houston's projected batting order.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

Today’s version of the Astros projected offense is weaker than usual, as their .311 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA is considerably below their .324 overall projected rate.

Among all stadiums, the 3rd-highest average fence height are at Minute Maid Park.

The Houston Astros collectively rank 29th- overall in baseball this year as far as the maximum exit velocity of all of the baseballs their [HITTER}s have hit.

Chris Paddack is projected to have 2.9 Earned Runs in today's game.