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Chris Bassitt

Toronto Blue Jays

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Toronto Blue Jays

01:07 PM

Apr 16, 2025

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Atlanta Braves

  • Projections
  • Props

Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 5.5 over: -115

Strikeouts 5.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Compared to the average pitcher, Chris Bassitt has been granted more leash than the typical pitcher since the start of last season, recording an extra 6.3 adjusted pitches each start.

Bill Miller grades out as a Huge Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be behind the plate in this game.

Projected catcher Alejandro Kirk projects as a good pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Home field advantage generally improves pitcher stats across the board, and Chris Bassitt will hold that advantage today.

Over his previous 3 GS, Chris Bassitt has posted a staggering 21 strikeouts.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 14° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.

Chris Bassitt's fastball velocity has fallen 2.2 mph this year (90.4 mph) below where it was last season (92.6 mph).

Considering the 0.65 deviation between Chris Bassitt's 8.98 K/9 and his 8.33 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in baseball since the start of last season when it comes to strikeouts and figures to see negative regression in the future.

Grading out in the 22nd percentile, Chris Bassitt compiled a 9.1% Swinging Strike percentage since the start of last season.

Chris Bassitt is projected to have 5.9 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -165

Pitching Outs 17.5 under: 120

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

Compared to the average pitcher, Chris Bassitt has been granted more leash than the typical pitcher since the start of last season, recording an extra 6.3 adjusted pitches each start.

Compared to their .337 overall projected rate, the .323 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA of the Atlanta Braves projected offense in this game suggests this version of the lineup quite a bit a bit watered down.

Bill Miller grades out as a Huge Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be behind the plate in this game.

Projected catcher Alejandro Kirk projects as a good pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Rogers Centre has the 8th-tallest average fence height among all stadiums.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

The Atlanta Braves have been the 9th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better the rest of the season

Rogers Centre grades out as the #2 stadium in the majors for home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors are found in Rogers Centre.

The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 14° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.

Chris Bassitt is an extreme flyball pitcher (34.6% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and will be disadvantaged pitching in the #2 HR venue among all parks today.

Chris Bassitt is projected to have 17.8 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: 110

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -150

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The Atlanta Braves have been the 9th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better the rest of the season

Rogers Centre grades out as the #2 stadium in the majors for home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors are found in Rogers Centre.

The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 14° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.

Chris Bassitt is an extreme flyball pitcher (34.6% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and will be disadvantaged pitching in the #2 HR venue among all parks today.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

Compared to their .337 overall projected rate, the .323 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA of the Atlanta Braves projected offense in this game suggests this version of the lineup quite a bit a bit watered down.

Bill Miller grades out as a Huge Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be behind the plate in this game.

Projected catcher Alejandro Kirk projects as a good pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Rogers Centre has the 8th-tallest average fence height among all stadiums.

The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense grades out as the 5th-strongest among all the teams today.

Chris Bassitt is projected to have 2.9 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Chris Bassitt Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel Caesars Fanatics
Hits Allowed
ov 5.5 (112)
un 5.5 (-155)
ov 5.5 (105)
un 5.5 (-150)
-
ov 5.5 (112)
un 5.5 (-154)
-
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 2.5 (102)
un 2.5 (-138)
ov 2.5 (110)
un 2.5 (-150)
-
-
-
Total Outs Recorded
ov 17.5 (-165)
un 17.5 (121)
ov 17.5 (-165)
un 17.5 (120)
ov 17.5 (-164)
un 17.5 (125)
ov 17.5 (-166)
un 17.5 (120)
-
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 5.5 (-123)
un 5.5 (-107)
ov 5.5 (-115)
un 5.5 (-110)
ov 5.5 (-120)
un 5.5 (-106)
ov 5.5 (-133)
un 5.5 (-103)
ov 5.5 (-125)
un 5.5 (-105)
Walks Allowed
ov 1.5 (-104)
un 1.5 (-134)
ov 1.5 (-105)
un 1.5 (-135)
-
ov 1.5 (-103)
un 1.5 (-133)
-

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