Casey Mize projections, stats and prop bet odds for Detroit Tigers at San Diego Padres on Sep 5, 2024
Casey Mize Player Prop Bet: Earned Runs
Earned Runs Prop Bet Odds:
- Earned Runs 2.5 over: -131
- Earned Runs 2.5 under: -104
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop Bet
The 5th-best projected offense on the slate in terms of overall offensive ability is that of the San Diego Padres.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 3rd-best venue in MLB for home runs.
Among all major league parks, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the shallowest.
Petco Park has the shortest fence height (on average) in MLB.
Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 84°.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop Bet
It may be best to expect negative regression for the San Diego Padres offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 9th-luckiest offense in the league this year.
It is scheduled that we will see a Huge Pitchers Umpire (Phil Cuzzi) behind the plate in this game.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Jake Rogers (the Tigers's expected catcher in today's matchup) grades out as an elite pitch framer.
Casey Mize's 94.9-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 84th percentile out of all SPs.
Casey Mize has compiled a 3.78 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that deals with the variables most within a pitcher's control) this year, placing in the 75th percentile.
Projection For Today's Casey Mize Earned Runs Prop Bet
Casey Mize is projected to have 2.8 Earned Runs in todays game.
Casey Mize Player Prop Bet: Pitching Outs
Pitching Outs Prop Bet Odds:
- Pitching Outs 15.5 over: -121
- Pitching Outs 15.5 under: -113
Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop Bet
It may be best to expect negative regression for the San Diego Padres offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 9th-luckiest offense in the league this year.
It is scheduled that we will see a Huge Pitchers Umpire (Phil Cuzzi) behind the plate in this game.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Jake Rogers (the Tigers's expected catcher in today's matchup) grades out as an elite pitch framer.
Casey Mize's 94.9-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 84th percentile out of all SPs.
Casey Mize has compiled a 3.78 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that deals with the variables most within a pitcher's control) this year, placing in the 75th percentile.
Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Prop Bet
Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Casey Mize is projected to throw 84 pitches today by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 14th-most of the day.
The 5th-best projected offense on the slate in terms of overall offensive ability is that of the San Diego Padres.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 3rd-best venue in MLB for home runs.
Among all major league parks, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the shallowest.
Petco Park has the shortest fence height (on average) in MLB.
Projection For Today's Casey Mize Pitching Outs Prop Bet
Casey Mize is projected to have 15.9 Pitching Outs in todays game.
Casey Mize Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts
Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:
- Strikeouts 3.5 over: -105
- Strikeouts 3.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet
It is scheduled that we will see a Huge Pitchers Umpire (Phil Cuzzi) behind the plate in this game.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Jake Rogers (the Tigers's expected catcher in today's matchup) grades out as an elite pitch framer.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 4th-best park in Major League Baseball for strikeouts.
Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.
Casey Mize's 94.9-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 84th percentile out of all SPs.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet
When assessing his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Casey Mize in the 20th percentile among all starters in Major League Baseball.
Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Casey Mize is projected to throw 84 pitches today by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 14th-most of the day.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 2nd-least strikeout-prone lineup on the slate today is the San Diego Padres with a 19.6% underlying K%.
Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 84°.
Playing on the road generally lowers pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Casey Mize in today's game.
Projection For Today's Casey Mize Strikeouts Prop Bet
Casey Mize is projected to have 3.7 Strikeouts in todays game.
