Casey Mize projections, stats and prop bet odds for Detroit Tigers at Kansas City Royals on Sep 17, 2024
Casey Mize Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts
Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:
- Strikeouts 3.5 over: 108
- Strikeouts 3.5 under: -138
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet
Casey Mize was firing on all cylinders in his last start and accumulated 7 strikeouts.
Casey Mize's 94.8-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 83rd percentile out of all SPs.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Casey Mize to throw 82 pitches in today's game (9th-least of the day), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-worst park in MLB for strikeouts.
Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the highest temperatures of the day at 84°.
Playing on the road generally lowers pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Casey Mize in today's matchup.
Projection For Today's Casey Mize Strikeouts Prop Bet
Casey Mize is projected to have 3.4 Strikeouts in todays game.
Casey Mize Player Prop Bet: Pitching Outs
Pitching Outs Prop Bet Odds:
- Pitching Outs 15.5 over: 130
- Pitching Outs 15.5 under: -165
Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop Bet
The deepest right field dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Kauffman Stadium.
Casey Mize's 94.8-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 83rd percentile out of all SPs.
Given the 0.47 deviation between Casey Mize's 4.47 ERA and his 4.00 FIP, it's safe to say he's been one of the least fortunate pitchers in the majors this year and ought to see better results going forward.
Casey Mize has been one of the unluckiest mound aces in the league on balls in play this year with a .328 BABIP and figures to see that luck normalize going forward.
Casey Mize's 80th percentile Walk% (5.8% this year) is evidence of his good control ability.
Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Casey Mize to throw 82 pitches in today's game (9th-least of the day), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the best stadium in Major League Baseball for walks.
In the majors, Kauffman Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the highest temperatures of the day at 84°.
Playing on the road generally lowers pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Casey Mize in today's matchup.
Projection For Today's Casey Mize Pitching Outs Prop Bet
Casey Mize is projected to have 15.4 Pitching Outs in todays game.
Casey Mize Player Prop Bet: Earned Runs
Earned Runs Prop Bet Odds:
- Earned Runs 2.5 over: -140
- Earned Runs 2.5 under: 110
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the best stadium in Major League Baseball for walks.
In the majors, Kauffman Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the highest temperatures of the day at 84°.
Playing on the road generally lowers pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Casey Mize in today's matchup.
Casey Mize’s fastball velocity over his last 3 outings (93.8 mph) has been considerably worse than than his seasonal rate (94.8 mph).
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop Bet
The deepest right field dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Kauffman Stadium.
Casey Mize's 94.8-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 83rd percentile out of all SPs.
Given the 0.47 deviation between Casey Mize's 4.47 ERA and his 4.00 FIP, it's safe to say he's been one of the least fortunate pitchers in the majors this year and ought to see better results going forward.
Casey Mize has been one of the unluckiest mound aces in the league on balls in play this year with a .328 BABIP and figures to see that luck normalize going forward.
Kansas City grades out as the #29 offense in the majors when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (41.4% rate this year).
Projection For Today's Casey Mize Earned Runs Prop Bet
Casey Mize is projected to have 2.9 Earned Runs in todays game.
