Cade Povich MLB projections and prop bets for Baltimore Orioles at Minnesota Twins on Sep 27, 2024
Cade Povich Player Prop Bet: Earned Runs
Earned Runs Prop Bet Odds:
- Earned Runs 2.5 over: -155
- Earned Runs 2.5 under: 110
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 8th-best venue in baseball for walks.
Playing on the road generally lessens pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Cade Povich today.
Minnesota's 14.9° launch angle (a reliable metric to assess the ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the steepest in MLB this year: #3 overall.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop Bet
In the league, Target Field's centerfield fences are the 10th-deepest.
Target Field has the 5th-highest average fence height in MLB.
Cade Povich performed well in his previous game started and gave up 2 ER.
With a 1.08 difference between Cade Povich's 5.59 ERA and his 4.51 estimated true talent ERA (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the unluckiest pitchers in MLB this year and figures to positively regress going forward.
Minnesota's 91.6-mph exit velocity on flyballs makes them the #24 team in the league this year by this standard.
Projection For Cade Povich Earned Runs Prop Bet
Cade Povich is projected to have 2.7 Earned Runs in this weeks game.
Cade Povich Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts
Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:
- Strikeouts 4.5 over: -106
- Strikeouts 4.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet
Cade Povich was firing on all cylinders in his last start and compiled 7 strikeouts.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet
Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Cade Povich is projected to throw 82 pitches in today's matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 3rd-least of the day.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the least strikeout-heavy lineup on the slate today is the Minnesota Twins with a 20% underlying K%.
Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.
Playing on the road generally lessens pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Cade Povich today.
Projection For Cade Povich Strikeouts Prop Bet
Cade Povich is projected to have 4 Strikeouts in this weeks game.
