Brandon Pfaadt Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: -167

Strikeouts 4.5 under: 130

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Home field advantage typically bolsters pitcher stats across the board, and Brandon Pfaadt will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Brandon Pfaadt's curveball rate has spiked by 10.8% from last year to this one (5.3% to 16.1%) .

Brandon Pfaadt's 2580-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 100th percentile out of all starters.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-worst field in the majors for strikeouts.

Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate.

Given that flyball pitchers are hit hardest by groundball hitters, Brandon Pfaadt (37.4% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 4 GB hitters in Tampa Bay's projected batting order.

Brandon Pfaadt's fastball velocity has decreased 1.3 mph this season (92.6 mph) below where it was last season (93.9 mph).

Brandon Pfaadt is projected to have 4.9 Strikeouts in today's game.

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: 105

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -145

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate.

Given that flyball pitchers are hit hardest by groundball hitters, Brandon Pfaadt (37.4% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 4 GB hitters in Tampa Bay's projected batting order.

Brandon Pfaadt's fastball velocity has decreased 1.3 mph this season (92.6 mph) below where it was last season (93.9 mph).

Brandon Pfaadt has been one of the luckiest hurlers in the game on balls in play this year with a .234 BABIP and figures to see that luck normalize going forward.

Tampa Bay Rays bats collectively rank near the top of baseball this year (9th-) as it relates to their 89.9-mph average exit velocity.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

It may be wise to expect weaker performance for the Tampa Bay Rays offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 8th-luckiest offense in baseball this year.

The #1 ballpark in the league for suppressing home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest CF fences among all parks.

The league's 10th-highest fences can be found at Chase Field.

Brandon Pfaadt is an extreme flyball pitcher (37.4% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be helped pitching in the #30 HR venue in the league in today's game.

Brandon Pfaadt is projected to have 2.8 Earned Runs in today's game.

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -132

Pitching Outs 17.5 under: 100

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

Tallying 17.1 outs per game per started since the start of last season on average, Brandon Pfaadt ranks in the 80th percentile.

It may be wise to expect weaker performance for the Tampa Bay Rays offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 8th-luckiest offense in baseball this year.

The #1 ballpark in the league for suppressing home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest CF fences among all parks.

The league's 10th-highest fences can be found at Chase Field.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate.

Given that flyball pitchers are hit hardest by groundball hitters, Brandon Pfaadt (37.4% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 4 GB hitters in Tampa Bay's projected batting order.

Brandon Pfaadt's fastball velocity has decreased 1.3 mph this season (92.6 mph) below where it was last season (93.9 mph).

Brandon Pfaadt has been one of the luckiest hurlers in the game on balls in play this year with a .234 BABIP and figures to see that luck normalize going forward.

Tampa Bay Rays bats collectively rank near the top of baseball this year (9th-) as it relates to their 89.9-mph average exit velocity.

Brandon Pfaadt is projected to have 17.2 Pitching Outs in today's game.