Brandon Pfaadt Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: -130

Strikeouts 4.5 under: 100

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Throwing 91.5 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Brandon Pfaadt checks in at the 75th percentile.

The Miami Marlins have 3 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Heriberto Hernandez, Connor Norby, Kyle Stowers).

Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the driest conditions of the day at 23%.

With 6 batters who share the same handedness in the opposing team's projected offense, Brandon Pfaadt should benefit from owning the platoon advantage in most plate appearances today.

Brandon Pfaadt will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats across the board.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

Chase Field grades out as the #26 park in the game for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the league, which often leads to more offense.

Because groundball hitters have a big edge over flyball pitchers, Brandon Pfaadt and his 35.8% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a troublesome position in today's game going up against 3 opposing GB batters.

Brandon Pfaadt's 92.9-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a sizeable 1-mph drop off from last year's 93.9-mph mark.

Brandon Pfaadt has relied on his slider 5.9% less often this year (21.4%) than he did last year (27.3%).

Brandon Pfaadt is projected to have 5 Strikeouts in today's game.

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 17.5 over: 100

Pitching Outs 17.5 under: -130

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

Throwing 91.5 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Brandon Pfaadt checks in at the 75th percentile.

The 5th-worst projected offense on the slate today in terms of overall batting ability belongs to the Miami Marlins.

In Major League Baseball, Chase Field's centerfield dimensions are the 3rd-deepest.

The league's 10th-highest fence height (on average) can be found at Chase Field.

Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the driest conditions of the day at 23%.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

The #3 venue in the league for boosting batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

Because groundball hitters have a big edge over flyball pitchers, Brandon Pfaadt and his 35.8% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a troublesome position in today's game going up against 3 opposing GB batters.

Brandon Pfaadt's 92.9-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a sizeable 1-mph drop off from last year's 93.9-mph mark.

Brandon Pfaadt has relied on his slider 5.9% less often this year (21.4%) than he did last year (27.3%).

With a 5.25 FIP this year (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that is concerned with the things a pitcher can most influence), Brandon Pfaadt places him the 10th percentile.

Brandon Pfaadt is projected to have 17.6 Pitching Outs in today's game.

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: 100

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -130

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The #3 venue in the league for boosting batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

Because groundball hitters have a big edge over flyball pitchers, Brandon Pfaadt and his 35.8% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a troublesome position in today's game going up against 3 opposing GB batters.

Brandon Pfaadt's 92.9-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a sizeable 1-mph drop off from last year's 93.9-mph mark.

Brandon Pfaadt has relied on his slider 5.9% less often this year (21.4%) than he did last year (27.3%).

With a 5.25 FIP this year (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that is concerned with the things a pitcher can most influence), Brandon Pfaadt places him the 10th percentile.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The 5th-worst projected offense on the slate today in terms of overall batting ability belongs to the Miami Marlins.

In Major League Baseball, Chase Field's centerfield dimensions are the 3rd-deepest.

The league's 10th-highest fence height (on average) can be found at Chase Field.

Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the driest conditions of the day at 23%.

With 6 batters who share the same handedness in the opposing team's projected offense, Brandon Pfaadt should benefit from owning the platoon advantage in most plate appearances today.

Brandon Pfaadt is projected to have 3 Earned Runs in today's game.