Bailey Ober Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 5.5 over: 110

Strikeouts 5.5 under: -145

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The Cincinnati Reds have 3 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Will Benson, Elly De La Cruz, Matt McLain).

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Christian Vazquez (the Twins's expected catcher in today's matchup) projects as a good pitch framer.

Bailey Ober has utilized his slider 13.9% more often this season (25.8%) than he did last season (11.9%).

Given the 1.28 difference between Bailey Ober's 6.96 K/9 and his 8.25 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the least fortunate pitchers in baseball this year in terms of strikeouts and should see better results in future games.

Ranking in the 80th percentile, Bailey Ober recorded a 12.3% Swinging Strike% this year.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Playing on the road typically reduces pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bailey Ober in today's matchup.

Bailey Ober's 89.8-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a significant 1.9-mph decline from last season's 91.7-mph mark.

Bailey Ober is projected to have 5 Strikeouts in today's game.

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 17.5 over: 110

Pitching Outs 17.5 under: -140

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

It may be sensible to expect weaker performance for the Cincinnati Reds offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 10th-luckiest offense in baseball this year.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Christian Vazquez (the Twins's expected catcher in today's matchup) projects as a good pitch framer.

Bailey Ober has utilized his slider 13.9% more often this season (25.8%) than he did last season (11.9%).

Ranking in the 80th percentile, Bailey Ober recorded a 12.3% Swinging Strike% this year.

Cincinnati's 88.5-mph average exit velocity this year ranks among the worst in Major League Baseball: #29 overall.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

Great American Ball Park profiles as the #1 field in the game for home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In the league, Great American Ball Park's LF fences are the 3rd-shallowest.

The weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Bailey Ober is an extreme flyball pitcher (43.2% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the misfortune of pitching in the #1 HR venue in the league in this matchup.

Playing on the road typically reduces pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bailey Ober in today's matchup.

Bailey Ober is projected to have 16.2 Pitching Outs in today's game.

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 3.5 over: 115

Earned Runs 3.5 under: -155

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

Great American Ball Park profiles as the #1 field in the game for home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In the league, Great American Ball Park's LF fences are the 3rd-shallowest.

The weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Bailey Ober is an extreme flyball pitcher (43.2% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the misfortune of pitching in the #1 HR venue in the league in this matchup.

Playing on the road typically reduces pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bailey Ober in today's matchup.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

It may be sensible to expect weaker performance for the Cincinnati Reds offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 10th-luckiest offense in baseball this year.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Christian Vazquez (the Twins's expected catcher in today's matchup) projects as a good pitch framer.

Bailey Ober has utilized his slider 13.9% more often this season (25.8%) than he did last season (11.9%).

Cincinnati's 88.5-mph average exit velocity this year ranks among the worst in Major League Baseball: #29 overall.

Bailey Ober is projected to have 3.1 Earned Runs in today's game.