Bailey Falter Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: 110

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -155

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

PNC Park profiles as the #4 venue in MLB for batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.

Given that flyball pitchers are least effective against groundball hitters, Bailey Falter (37.3% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 4 GB hitters in Miami's projected offense.

Out of all SPs, Bailey Falter's fastball velocity of 91.4 mph is in the 15th percentile this year.

Among all starting pitchers, Bailey Falter's fastball spin rate of 2096 rpm ranks in the 4th percentile this year.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The Miami Marlins projected lineup grades out as the 2nd-worst of all teams on the slate in terms of overall batting skill.

The Miami Marlins have been the 7th-luckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse going forward

PNC Park has the 6th-highest average fence height among all parks.

This matchup is forecasted to have the 2nd-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Bailey Falter has a large reverse platoon split and has the benefit of facing 9 opposite-handed bats in this matchup.

Bailey Falter is projected to have 2.8 Earned Runs in today's game.

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 3.5 over: -122

Strikeouts 3.5 under: -104

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

This matchup is forecasted to have the 2nd-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Bailey Falter has a large reverse platoon split and has the benefit of facing 9 opposite-handed bats in this matchup.

Bailey Falter will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats in all categories.

Bailey Falter's four-seamer percentage has decreased by 5.8% from last season to this one (48.5% to 42.7%) .

Given the 1.16 discrepancy between Bailey Falter's 5.56 K/9 and his 6.71 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the least fortunate pitchers in MLB this year as it relates to strikeouts and figures to perform better the rest of the season.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Bailey Falter in the 11th percentile when estimating his strikeout talent.

Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 5th-least strikeout-heavy lineup today is the Miami Marlins with a 20.8% underlying K%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 7th-worst venue in the game for strikeouts.

Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.

Given that flyball pitchers are least effective against groundball hitters, Bailey Falter (37.3% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 4 GB hitters in Miami's projected offense.

Bailey Falter is projected to have 3.7 Strikeouts in today's game.

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 16.5 over: -104

Pitching Outs 16.5 under: -128

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

The Miami Marlins projected lineup grades out as the 2nd-worst of all teams on the slate in terms of overall batting skill.

The Miami Marlins have been the 7th-luckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse going forward

PNC Park has the 6th-highest average fence height among all parks.

This matchup is forecasted to have the 2nd-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Bailey Falter has a large reverse platoon split and has the benefit of facing 9 opposite-handed bats in this matchup.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

PNC Park profiles as the #4 venue in MLB for batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.

Given that flyball pitchers are least effective against groundball hitters, Bailey Falter (37.3% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 4 GB hitters in Miami's projected offense.

Out of all SPs, Bailey Falter's fastball velocity of 91.4 mph is in the 15th percentile this year.

Among all starting pitchers, Bailey Falter's fastball spin rate of 2096 rpm ranks in the 4th percentile this year.

Bailey Falter is projected to have 16.5 Pitching Outs in today's game.