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Alex Verdugo

Atlanta Braves

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Pittsburgh Pirates

01:35 PM

May 11, 2025

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Atlanta Braves

  • Projections
  • Props

Total Bases

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Total Bases Prop Odds:

Total Bases 1.5 over: 145

Total Bases 1.5 under: -182

Trends Favoring The Over Total Bases Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Alex Verdugo is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 9th-best venue in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense.

Given Carmen Mlodzinski's large platoon split, Alex Verdugo will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.

Trends Favoring The Under Total Bases Shots Prop

Among all parks, the 6th-tallest fences are at PNC Park.

Today, Alex Verdugo is at a disadvantage facing the league's 11th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 37.6% rate (94th percentile).

Alex Verdugo will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.

Alex Verdugo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, going from 12.1% to 7.5%.

Alex Verdugo has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite poorly in recent games, notching a 0.4° angle on such balls in the last 14 days.

Alex Verdugo is projected to have 1.7 Total Bases in today's game.

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RBIs

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RBIs Prop Odds:

RBIs 0.5 over: 235

RBIs 0.5 under: -323

Trends Favoring The Over RBIs Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Alex Verdugo is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 9th-best venue in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense.

Given Carmen Mlodzinski's large platoon split, Alex Verdugo will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.

Trends Favoring The Under RBIs Shots Prop

Among all parks, the 6th-tallest fences are at PNC Park.

Today, Alex Verdugo is at a disadvantage facing the league's 11th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 37.6% rate (94th percentile).

Alex Verdugo will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.

Alex Verdugo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, going from 12.1% to 7.5%.

Alex Verdugo has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite poorly in recent games, notching a 0.4° angle on such balls in the last 14 days.

Alex Verdugo is projected to have 0.4 RBIs in today's game.

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Hits

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Hits Prop Odds:

Hits 0.5 over: -244

Hits 0.5 under: 190

Trends Favoring The Over Hits Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Alex Verdugo is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 10th-best field in MLB for LHB batting average.

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense.

Given Carmen Mlodzinski's large platoon split, Alex Verdugo will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.

Trends Favoring The Under Hits Shots Prop

Today, Alex Verdugo is at a disadvantage facing the league's 11th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 37.6% rate (94th percentile).

Alex Verdugo will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.

Alex Verdugo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, going from 12.1% to 7.5%.

Alex Verdugo has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite poorly in recent games, notching a 0.4° angle on such balls in the last 14 days.

Alex Verdugo's 89.2-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable stat to measure power) is in the 14th percentile since the start of last season.

Alex Verdugo is projected to have 1.2 Hits in today's game.

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Hits Runs and RBIs

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Hits Runs and RBIs Prop Odds:

Hits Runs and RBIs 1.5 over: -125

Hits Runs and RBIs 1.5 under: -105

Trends Favoring The Over Hits Runs and RBIs Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Alex Verdugo is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 9th-best venue in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense.

Given Carmen Mlodzinski's large platoon split, Alex Verdugo will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.

Trends Favoring The Under Hits Runs and RBIs Shots Prop

Among all parks, the 6th-tallest fences are at PNC Park.

Today, Alex Verdugo is at a disadvantage facing the league's 11th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 37.6% rate (94th percentile).

Alex Verdugo will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.

Alex Verdugo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, going from 12.1% to 7.5%.

Alex Verdugo has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite poorly in recent games, notching a 0.4° angle on such balls in the last 14 days.

Alex Verdugo is projected to have 2.3 Hits Runs and RBIs in today's game.

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Home Runs

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Home Runs Prop Odds:

Home Runs 0.5 over: 1000

Home Runs 0.5 under: -2800

Trends Favoring The Over Home Runs Prop

Alex Verdugo is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense.

Given Carmen Mlodzinski's large platoon split, Alex Verdugo will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.

Sporting a 1.8 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Alex Verdugo has displayed strong plate discipline, checking in at the 84th percentile.

Trends Favoring The Under Home Runs Shots Prop

PNC Park projects as the #25 ballpark in baseball for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Among all parks, the 6th-tallest fences are at PNC Park.

Today, Alex Verdugo is at a disadvantage facing the league's 11th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 37.6% rate (94th percentile).

Alex Verdugo will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.

Alex Verdugo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, going from 12.1% to 7.5%.

Alex Verdugo is projected to have 0.1 Home Runs in today's game.

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Alex Verdugo Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings Caesars
Doubles
ov 0.5 (320)
un 0.5 (-502)
ov 0.5 (330)
un 0.5 (-500)
ov 0.5 (311)
un 0.5 (-504)
Singles
ov 0.5 (-144)
un 0.5 (104)
ov 0.5 (-145)
un 0.5 (105)
ov 0.5 (-142)
un 0.5 (104)
Stolen Bases
ov 0.5 (1700)
un 0.5 (-5000)
ov 0.5 (1700)
un 0.5 (-5000)
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Total Bases
ov 1.5 (134)
un 1.5 (-186)
ov 1.5 (130)
un 1.5 (-185)
ov 1.5 (133)
un 1.5 (-184)
Total Hits
ov 0.5 (-254)
un 0.5 (181)
ov 0.5 (-255)
un 0.5 (185)
ov 0.5 (-254)
un 0.5 (178)
Total Hits, Runs, & RBIs
ov 1.5 (-132)
un 1.5 (-106)
ov 1.5 (-135)
un 1.5 (-105)
ov 1.5 (-129)
un 1.5 (-106)
Total RBIs
ov 0.5 (224)
un 0.5 (-332)
ov 0.5 (230)
un 0.5 (-340)
ov 0.5 (219)
un 0.5 (-324)
Total Runs
ov 0.5 (102)
un 0.5 (-141)
ov 0.5 (105)
un 0.5 (-145)
ov 0.5 (100)
un 0.5 (-137)
Total Walks
ov 0.5 (155)
un 0.5 (-220)
ov 0.5 (155)
un 0.5 (-220)
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