AJ Smith-Shawver Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: 105

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -140

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s evaluation, AJ Smith-Shawver's overall pitching talent ranks in the 25th percentile out of all starters in Major League Baseball right now.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 4th-best field in MLB for BABIP.

Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.

Out of all starting pitchers, AJ Smith-Shawver's fastball spin rate of 2130 rpm is in the 14th percentile this year.

Placing 2nd-highest in MLB this year, Cincinnati Reds batters as a unit have recorded a 17.7° launch angle on their hardest-contacted balls (an advanced metric to evaluate power ability).

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The 5th-weakest projected batting order of all teams on the slate in terms of overall hitting ability belongs to the Cincinnati Reds.

The Cincinnati Reds have been the 6th-luckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress the rest of the season

In MLB, Truist Park's left field fences are the 2nd-deepest.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 7th-most favorable for hitting on the slate today.

AJ Smith-Shawver is an extreme flyball pitcher (38.3% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the benefit of pitching in the #24 HR venue among all major league parks today.

AJ Smith-Shawver is projected to have 2.6 Earned Runs in today's game.

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: -148

Strikeouts 4.5 under: 112

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

When it comes to his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts AJ Smith-Shawver in the 76th percentile among all starters in baseball.

The Cincinnati Reds have 3 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Matt McLain, Elly De La Cruz, Tyler Callihan).

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 7th-most favorable for hitting on the slate today.

AJ Smith-Shawver will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his metrics across the board.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

AJ Smith-Shawver has been given a shorter leash than the typical pitcher since the start of last season, throwing 7.1 fewer adjusted pitches-per-game than league average.

Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.

Out of all starting pitchers, AJ Smith-Shawver's fastball spin rate of 2130 rpm is in the 14th percentile this year.

AJ Smith-Shawver is projected to have 5.3 Strikeouts in today's game.

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 15.5 over: 130

Pitching Outs 15.5 under: -167

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

The 5th-weakest projected batting order of all teams on the slate in terms of overall hitting ability belongs to the Cincinnati Reds.

The Cincinnati Reds have been the 6th-luckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress the rest of the season

In MLB, Truist Park's left field fences are the 2nd-deepest.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 7th-most favorable for hitting on the slate today.

AJ Smith-Shawver is an extreme flyball pitcher (38.3% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the benefit of pitching in the #24 HR venue among all major league parks today.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s evaluation, AJ Smith-Shawver's overall pitching talent ranks in the 25th percentile out of all starters in Major League Baseball right now.

AJ Smith-Shawver has been given a shorter leash than the typical pitcher since the start of last season, throwing 7.1 fewer adjusted pitches-per-game than league average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 4th-best field in MLB for BABIP.

Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.

Out of all starting pitchers, AJ Smith-Shawver's fastball spin rate of 2130 rpm is in the 14th percentile this year.

AJ Smith-Shawver is projected to have 15 Pitching Outs in today's game.