Oakland Athletics vs Atlanta Braves Betting Pick, Prediction & Preview

• Date: June 2, 2024
• Venue: Truist Park
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Luis Medina - Athletics
  • Charlie Morton - Braves

Betting Odds

Oakland Athletics vs Atlanta Braves Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Oakland Athletics vs Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are set to take on the Oakland Athletics in an Interleague matchup on June 2, 2024, at Truist Park. The Braves, with a season record of 32-24, are having a good season, while the Athletics are struggling with a record of 24-36.

The Braves are the home team for this game, and they have been performing well on their own turf. They boast a strong offense, ranking 7th best in MLB and leading in team batting average and home runs. Their lineup is led by their best hitter, who has played in a significant number of games this season.

On the pitching side, the Braves are projected to start right-handed pitcher Charlie Morton, who has been a reliable presence on the mound. Morton has started 10 games this year, with a win/loss record of 3-2 and an ERA of 4.29. However, his 3.71 xFIP suggests that he has been unlucky and is likely to perform better going forward. Morton is projected to pitch an average of 5.8 innings and strike out 7.1 batters today.

Facing Morton will be the Athletics' right-handed pitcher Luis Medina, who is one of the worst pitchers in MLB according to advanced-stat Power Rankings. Medina is projected to pitch an average of 4.5 innings and allow 2.9 earned runs. The Braves' strong offense will look to take advantage of Medina's struggles.

The Braves have the advantage in terms of their bullpen, which is ranked 10th best in MLB according to our advanced-stat Power Rankings. On the other hand, the Athletics' bullpen is ranked 2nd best, making it a potential weapon for them in the later innings.

Over the past week, the Braves' best hitter, Matt Olson, has been on fire, recording multiple hits, runs, RBIs, and home runs, with an impressive batting average and OPS.

Based on current odds, the Braves are the heavy betting favorites, with a high implied win probability. THE BAT X, the leading MLB projection system, also projects the Braves as the favorite, giving them a win probability of 63%.

With their strong offense and reliable pitching, the Braves are well-positioned to secure a victory in this game. However, baseball is an unpredictable sport, and the Athletics, despite their struggles, may offer value as an underdog.

Quick Takes Oakland Athletics:

Out of all the teams today, the worst outfield defense is that of the Oakland Athletics.

• Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.

This year, there has been a decline in Miguel Andujar's quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 27.63 ft/sec last year to 25.6 ft/sec currently.

• Slow players tend to get fewer hits because they can't beat out groundballs, fewer extra base hits, and fewer stolen bases.

Kyle McCann hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

• This player's skill set matches up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Quick Takes Atlanta Braves:

Compared to the average pitcher, Charlie Morton has been given a longer leash than the average pitcher this year, throwing an additional 5.2 adjusted pitches each game.

• Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.

Ozzie Albies is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the weak outfield defense of Oakland (#1-worst of all teams today).

• This player's skill set matches up well with the opposing team's defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

The 4th-best projected offense of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall hitting skill is that of the the Atlanta Braves.

• A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Game Trends

• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 51 games (+14.30 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 29 away games (+7.25 Units / 21% ROI)
• Orlando Arcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 32 of his last 49 games (+12.55 Units / 18% ROI)

Oakland Athletics vs Atlanta Braves Prediction

Final Score: Oakland Athletics 3.73 vs Atlanta Braves 5.09

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