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Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins made the postseason last year, finishing third in the NL East and qualifying for the Wild Card round. That was where their season ended, though, as they were swept in two games by the Philadelphia Phillies. But just getting to the postseason was a step in the right direction for the Marlins last year, who will look to build on that this season and hope that they can make a deeper run in October.
2024 Over/Under Season Win Total Odds
| Sportsbook | Over/Under Wins |
|---|---|
| DraftKings | 78.5 |
| FanDuel | 78.5 |
Miami Marlins Futures Betting Odds
MIA 
Standings Data
| 2023 | |
|---|---|
| Actual Record | 84-78 |
| Run Differential | -57 |
| Pythagorean W/L | 75-87 |
| BaseRuns Record | 77-85 |
| BaseRuns Run Differential | -39 |
Miami Marlins Picks, Predictions & Betting News
Offseason Transactions
Key Additions: Christian Bethancourt, Jonah Bride
Key Departures: Jorge Soler, Jacob Stallings, Yuli Gurriel, David Robertson
Losing Jorge Soler is a huge blow for this Marlins team. He was an All-Star last year and hit 36 home runs, with the Marlins likely to really suffer in the power department without him. Not bringing in any pitching of note is also a huge miss for the Marlins, especially with Sandy Alcantara set to miss this season after getting Tommy John surgery.
Offensive Outlook
The Marlins were top-five in MLB in batting average last season, but they were in the bottom-10 in the league in home runs. It is hard to see them improving their power numbers with the departure of Soler. But Luis Arraez is one of the best pure table setters in baseball and he will once again be among the league leaders in batting average to help this Marlins team hit for average and be a thorn in the side of opposing pitching staffs.
Pitching Outlook
Miami was right in the middle of the National League in terms of runs allowed last season, despite Sandy Alcantara having a rough 2023 campaign. This year, though, the Marlins won’t have Alcantara at all due to Tommy John surgery. That will make things tough on this staff, even if Jesus Luzardo was electric for most of last season and will be the top option for the Miami rotation in 2024.
Positives & Negatives
Miami’s biggest positive going into 2024 is the fact that they still have a couple of really good starting pitchers, even without having Alcantara to rely on this season. Luzardo and Braxton Garrett were both solid for this team and will be expected to stay that way in the year to come. But the power hitting for the Marlins is seriously lacking without Soler in their lineup and they will need to figure out a way to generate some power to have a successful year.
Miami Marlins Pick & Prediction: Over 78.5
While we are concerned about the power hitting of the Marlins in the season to come, but we will still grab the over for them at 78.5 wins. Miami’s pitching will still be in good hands without Alcantara, while the Marlins will do enough hitting without enough power in order to have another season just above the .500 mark. Expect Miami to earn a Wild Card spot this year and for them to try their hand in October once again.
