Cleveland Guardians

Cleveland Guardians

Oct 10, 2024

Detroit Tigers

Detroit Tigers
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Guardians vs Tigers Game 4 Preview & Best Bet – 10/10/2024

  • Date: October 10, 2024
  • Venue: Comerica Park
  • Starting Pitchers:
    • Tanner Bibee - Guardians
    • Undecided - Tigers

Guardians vs Tigers Game 4 Betting Odds

Moneyline: Guardians -120, Tigers 100
Runline: Guardians -1.5 150, Tigers 1.5 -175
Over/Under Total: 6.5 -110

Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers Game 4 Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Cleveland Guardians - 52% Cleveland Guardians - 52.38%
Detroit Tigers - 48% Detroit Tigers - 47.62%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers Game 4 Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers are set to host the Cleveland Guardians in a crucial American League Division Series matchup on October 10, 2024, at Comerica Park. As the fourth game in this series, every pitch counts, with the Guardians holding a slight advantage with a 52% implied win probability, according to oddsmakers. The Tigers, meanwhile, are given a 48% chance of victory, suggesting a tightly contested battle is on the horizon as the Tigers look to close this series out at home.

The Tigers, who have struggled offensively, rank 25th in MLB in overall offense, with only marginally better numbers in batting average (24th) and home runs (24th). Their lack of power is concerning, especially against a Guardians team that ranks 12th in home runs and boasts a strong 6th place ranking in stolen bases, highlighting their balanced offensive approach.

On the mound, Detroit has yet to decide on a starting pitcher as they look to stifle Cleveland's lineup. Whoever does start, their challenge will be stiff, given the Guardians' ability to hit the long ball. On the flip side, Cleveland is banking on Tanner Bibee to try and halt the momentum of the Tigers, who have won the last two games of this series.

While neither team's implied run totals—Tigers at 3.17 and Guardians at 3.33—suggest a high-scoring affair, factors such as Detroit's surprisingly strong 9th-ranked bullpen could help them punch above their weight. This contrasts with their overall offensive struggles, making bullpen management a potential X-factor in this contest.

For bettors, the close odds and low Game Total of 6.5 runs indicate a game that could swing either way. Both teams will need to capitalize on any mistakes, as this pivotal series game could have significant implications in their postseason aspirations.

Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers Game 4 Prediction

Final Score: Cleveland Guardians 3.20 vs Detroit Tigers 2.88

Stay informed with the most recent MLB news and our analytics-driven MLB picks and predictions all season long.

Subscribe to our newsletter to get our best bets every week!

*By clicking the "Subscribe" button, you agree to receive promotional emails.

Consensus

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-124
56% CLE
+106
44% DET

Total Pick Consensus

6.5/-102
37% UN
6.5/-118
63% OV

Spread Pick Consensus

-1.5/+145
70% CLE
+1.5/-175
30% DET

Stats

  • Team Stats
  • Team Records
  • Pitchers
  • Recent Starts
CLE
Team Stats
DET
3.76
ERA
4.46
.240
Batting Avg Against
.244
1.27
WHIP
1.27
.286
BABIP
.289
8.3%
BB%
7.6%
21.3%
K%
22.2%
74.3%
LOB%
68.5%
.250
Batting Avg
.234
.380
SLG
.374
.693
OPS
.673
.313
OBP
.299
CLE
Team Records
DET
50-30
Home
43-38
42-39
Road
43-38
63-58
vRHP
65-64
29-11
vLHP
21-12
50-47
vs>.500
47-50
42-22
vs<.500
39-26
5-5
Last10
7-3
11-9
Last20
15-5
17-13
Last30
20-10
T. Bibee
R. Olson
108.2
Innings
60.2
19
GS
10
9-2
W-L
2-5
2.90
ERA
4.45
8.78
K/9
8.60
2.90
BB/9
2.37
0.83
HR/9
1.34
81.1%
LOB%
65.6%
7.8%
HR/FB%
13.2%
3.62
FIP
4.08
4.35
xFIP
3.98
.234
AVG
.226
23.5%
K%
23.1%
7.8%
BB%
6.4%
4.25
SIERA
4.00

T. Bibee

Date
Opp
W/L
IP
H
R
ER
SO
BB
ST-PC

R. Olson

Date
Opp
W/L
IP
H
R
ER
SO
BB
ST-PC

Odds

  • MoneyLine
  • RunLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
CLE DET
CLE DET
Consensus
-117
-103
-124
+106
-118
-102
-125
+105
-112
-104
-124
+106
-117
-107
-127
+108
-120
+100
-125
+105
-115
-105
-125
+105
Open
Current
Book
CLE DET
CLE DET
Consensus
-1.5 (+152)
+1.5 (-182)
-1.5 (+147)
+1.5 (-175)
-1.5 (+160)
+1.5 (-192)
-1.5 (+145)
+1.5 (-175)
-1.5 (+168)
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-182)
-1.5 (+160)
+1.5 (-200)
-1.5 (+148)
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+158)
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+140)
+1.5 (-165)
-1.5 (145)
+1.5 (+165)
-1.5 (+145)
+1.5 (-175)
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
7.0 (+100)
7.0 (-120)
6.5 (-113)
6.5 (-107)
7.0 (+100)
7.0 (-120)
6.5 (-118)
6.5 (-102)
6.5 (-114)
6.5 (-106)
6.5 (-110)
6.5 (-110)
6.5 (-124)
6.5 (-105)
6.5 (-112)
6.5 (-108)
6.5 (-120)
6.5 (+100)
6.5 (-115)
6.5 (-105)
7.0 (+100)
7.0 (-120)
6.5 (-115)
6.5 (-105)