Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets Prediction – 7/20/2025

The New York Mets and Cincinnati Reds will face off on Sunday at Citi Field in Queens. The Mets are favored coming into this series finale. But the Reds have won two games in a row in this series and will look to secure a sweep. Here, you can find out whether or not I think that sweep will happen as I bring you my Reds vs Mets prediction.

Our Reds vs Mets Pick

  • Pick: New York Mets -1.5
  • Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot

  • Matchup: Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets
  • Date & Time: Sunday, July 20, 2025, 1:40 p.m. ET
  • Starting Pitchers: David Peterson (NYM) vs Andrew Abbott (CIN)
  • Stadium: Citi Field, Queens, NY
  • Broadcast: WPIX (NY), FDSOH (Cincinnati)

Key Storylines

Pitching Form

David Peterson is 6–4 with a 3.06 ERA for the Mets this season. He has delivered an All‑Star level performance in the first half of the season. The Mets will lean heavily on him to try and avoid a sweep in this series.

Andrew Abbott is an impressive 8–1 with a 2.07 ERA for the Reds in 2025. Abbott has allowed just 75 hits this year. But 10 of those hits have been home runs and the Mets could take advantage of that today.

Bullpen Usage

The Reds have had the upper hand out of the bullpen so far in this series. These teams have nearly identical bullpen ERAs this year. But unless the Mets can get more out of their relievers today, the Reds could use their bullpen’s recent form to secure a sweep.

Recent Team Streaks

  • Mets: The Mets have lost three games in a row coming into Sunday’s play.
  • Reds: Cincinnati is on a four‑game win streak.

Best Player Props

PlayerProp Market
Juan SotoOver 0.5 Home Runs
David PetersonOver 5.5 Strikeouts
Elly De La CruzOver 1.5 Total Bases
  • The Reds are 2-0 against the Mets so far this season.
  • Games in this series have gone 1-1 in the over/under market.
  • After this game, the Reds and Mets will play three more times in September to close out their season series.

Reds vs Mets Model Projection

Score Projection: Mets 6 – Reds 4

Win Probability: Mets 58%, Reds 42%

Final Thoughts

I can’t help but like the Mets to bounce back in this spot on Sunday afternoon. The Mets have an All-Star pitcher in David Peterson on the bump today. That should help limit the Reds offense while also not putting too much of a workload on the New York bullpen. I recommend laying the runline with the Mets here as they should salvage a game out of what has been a disappointing series for them.


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Home MLB Picks Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets Prediction – 7/20/2025