The Mississippi State Bulldogs (2–1) will take on the Kansas State Wildcats (4–0) in a key early-season game at T‑Mobile Center in Kansas City. As part of the 25th Annual Hall of Fame Classic, this game pits two power conference teams against one another in a game with some high stakes for an early non-conference contest. Before this game tips off from Kansas City, continue reading to get my Mississippi state vs Kansas State prediction.
Our Mississippi State vs Kansas State Pick
- Pick: Mississippi State –2.5
- Confidence: 3/5
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Mississippi State Bulldogs @ Kansas State Wildcats
- Date & Time: Thursday, November 20, 2025, 9:30 PM ET
- Venue: T‑Mobile Center, Kansas City, Missouri
- Broadcast: Peacock
Key Storylines
- Mississippi State’s momentum: The Bulldogs earned their third straight NCAA Tournament berth last season and bring in a reliable core under head coach Chris Jans. Their 2–1 start includes solid offensive output and efficient shooting, particularly from top scorer Josh Hubbard, who is averaging 22.3 points per game. Mississippi State lost its only game against a power conference opponent when they lost to Iowa State earlier this season.
- Kansas State’s offensive firepower: The Wildcats have averaged 93.5 points through their first four games, connecting at a scorching 54.7% clip from the field. Five players are averaging double figures early on. Memphis transfer P.J. Haggerty leads the way with 26.0 points, 5.8 assists, and 4.8 rebounds per game.
- Early-season tournament stakes: This game is the semifinal round of the Hall of Fame Classic. A win here gives either team a shot at the tournament title on Friday and valuable nonconference résumé strength early in the season.
- Key coaching moments: Kansas State will also honor their late coach Jack Hartman at halftime. It’s a moment of reverence that could add emotional weight to the Wildcats’ performance, but also serve as a possible distraction.
Head-to‑Head & Betting Trends
Past meetings: These teams have met only four times prior to this game. K‑State leads the all-time series 3–1, but Mississippi State won their most recent contest 67–61 in December 2019.
ATS records: Mississippi State is 0-3 against the spread for the season going into this game. Kansas State is 1-3 against the spread entering this matchup.
Over/Under trends: All four of Kansas State’s games this season have gone over their totals. Two of Mississippi State’s first three games have gone under their totals.
Mississippi State vs Kansas State Model Projection
- Score Projection: Mississippi State 82 – Kansas State 78.
- Win Probability: Mississippi State 56%, Kansas State 44%
Final Thoughts
This should be a very good game between two teams that could have a real future in March this season. As far as the outcome of this game is concerned, I’ll go with the Mississippi State Bulldogs to get the win in this neutral-site matchup. The Bulldogs should cover the spread thanks to their superior defense, as K-State has given up over 80 points in back-to-back games going into this one.
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