Week 8 of the 2025 CFL season will begin with a showdown between the Montreal Alouettes and the Calgary Stampeders on Thursday night. Both teams are above the .500 mark on the season and the winner could end this week on top of their division. Here, I break down this CFL matchup and bring you my Montreal Alouettes vs Calgary Stampeders prediction.
Our Montreal Alouettes vs Calgary Stampeders Pick
- Pick: Calgary Stampeders -5.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
- Bonus Bets For the Game: With bet365 promo code ATSBONUS, you can bet $5 and get $150 in bonus bets for this game, whether your $5 bet wins or loses!
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Calgary Stampeders vs Montreal Alouettes
- Date & Time: Thursday, July 25, 2025, at 9:00 PM EDT
- Venue: McMahon Stadium, Calgary, Alberta
- Broadcast: TSN/CBSSN
| Odds Type | Line |
|---|---|
| Spread | Calgary –5.5 |
| Moneyline | Calgary –230 / Montreal +190 |
| Total | 50.5 points |
Key Storylines
Recent form
- Calgary is on a three‑game winning streak. They got an impressive 41–20 victory at Winnipeg last week and they are at the top of the West Division.
- Montreal is 4–2 on the season. They most recently beat Toronto 26–25 in Week 7 at home.
Quarterback play
- Calgary’s Vernon Adams Jr. has delivered high-efficiency passing and steady leadership. He is second in the league in passing yards and will look to stay hot in this contest.
- Montreal’s quarterback situation is a mess going into this game. Davis Alexander was put on the six-game injured list after last week’s heroics. We could see Caleb Evans in his place.
Anticipated matchup advantages
- The Stampeders are allowing just 18.5 points per game. Their defense could take full advantage of the Montreal quarterback situation.
- Montreal’s secondary could have a big game in terms of turnover creation. Adams has thrown six interceptions already this year and his occasional lapses in judgment could benefit the DBs of the Als.
Betting Trends & H2H
- Calgary is 5-1 straight up and 5-1 against the spread this season.
- Montreal is 4-2 straight up and 3-3 against the spread.
- Calgary is 3-3 on over/unders this year. Montreal is 3-2-1 on totals for the season.
Montreal Alouettes vs Calgary Stampeders Model Projection
Score Projection: Calgary 28 – Montreal 20
Win Probability: Calgary 62%, Montreal 38%
Final Thoughts
The injury to Alexander should have a negative impact on the Alouettes offensively in this game. Look for the Stamps to put pressure on Evans and for Vernon Adams to continue to make plays down the field for his team. The Stampeders should win this game by at least a touchdown and cover the number while moving to 6-1 on the season.
