The Hamilton Tiger-Cats will play the Toronto Argonauts in their final regular-season road game of the year on Saturday. Hamilton is 9–6 and has already clinched a playoff spot at the top of the East Division. The Argos are 5–10 and are fighting for playoff positioning late in the season. Here, I break down this East Division matchup and give you my Tiger-Cats vs Argonauts prediction for Saturday’s game.
Our Tiger-Cats vs Argonauts Pick
- Pick: Hamilton -1.5
- Confidence: 3/5
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs Toronto Argonauts
- Date & Time: Saturday, October 4, 2025, 3:00 PM ET
- Venue: BMO Field, Toronto, Ontario
- Broadcast: TSN
Tiger-Cats vs Argonauts Odds
| Odds | Hamilton | Toronto |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | –1.5 | +1.5 |
| Moneyline | –125 | +105 |
| Total | 57.5 | |
Key Storylines
- Hamilton has already locked in a playoff berth and leads the East Division. They hold a one-game lead in the race for the top seed in the East and will try to keep the momentum in the race for the top spot here.
- Toronto’s season has been up and down. They have a 5–10 record and the Argos must win out and get help to stay in contention.
- In their first meeting this season, Hamilton outgunned Toronto 51–38 in Week 5. Toronto did beat Hamilton 35–33 in Week 13 on a late field goal. The third meeting will determine who wins the regular-season series between these teams.
- In Week 17, Hamilton was embarrassed 40–3 in Winnipeg. That raised concerns about their consistency and motivation. They will try to put those concerns to bed with a win here.
Quarterback Play
Hamilton’s offense is led by Bo Levi Mitchell. He enters this game as the CFL leader in passing yards with 4,406 yards and touchdown passes with 28. In the blowout Week 17 loss, Mitchell managed only 212 yards and no touchdowns. He will try to avoid a second poor start in a row in this matchup.
Toronto’s Nick Arbuckle has returned from a calf injury but was pressured heavily in the team’s Week 17 loss to the BC Lions. He went 28-of-38 for 281 yards, one touchdown, and one interception against the Lions. Arbuckle ranks second behind Mitchell in the CFL passing yardage charts and he will try to surpass BLM with a big game here.
Betting Trends
- Hamilton is just 6-9 against the spread despite their 9-6 record on the season.
- Toronto is 7-8 against the spread this season.
- Toronto is 7-7-1 in the over/under market this year.
- Hamilton has gone under the total in nine of their 15 games in 2025.
Tiger-Cats vs Argonauts Model Projection
Score Projection: Hamilton 28 – Toronto 24
Win Probability: Hamilton 58%, Toronto 42%
Final Thoughts
These teams will both look to air it out offensively like they have for most of the season. Both Arbuckle and Mitchell will lead their offenses in what should be an entertaining and high-scoring game. But in the end, I think that Hamilton is more well-rounded and should be able to come away with a win on the road to get to the 10-win mark for the year.
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