The Hamilton Tiger-Cats travel to Vancouver to take on the BC Lions at BC Place on Sunday night. Hamilton has moved to the top of the East Division by getting to 4-2 on the season. BC is off to a 3-4 start and will look to get back to the .500 mark at home. Here, I break down this CFL Week 8 matchup and give you my Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs BC Lions prediction to close out the week in Canadian football.
Our Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs BC Lions Pick
- Pick: Hamilton Tiger-Cats +3.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs BC Lions
- Date & Time: Sunday, July 27, 2025, 7:00 PM EDT
- Venue: BC Place, Vancouver
- Broadcast: TSN
Spread | Moneyline | Total |
---|---|---|
BC -3.5 | Hamilton +146 / BC -176 | 54.5 |
Key Storylines
Quarterback Play
Bo Levi Mitchell has been stellar for Hamilton. He is completing 66.2% of his passes and he leads the CFL in passing yardage. BC’s starter is Nathan Rourke. Rourke is behind only Mitchell in the CFL touchdown pass charts this year. Rourke has 10 touchdowns and four interceptions and BC will expect him to continue to grow into the role of starting QB here.
Anticipated Matchup Advantages
- Passing Game: Hamilton’s aerial attack, built around Mitchell and Kenny Lawler, will test BC’s secondary.
- Pass Rush & Defensive Fronts: BC welcomed back DL Jonah Tavai and Kemoko Turay recently. Their return could disrupt Hamilton’s rhythm. But BC’s pressure hasn’t consistently slowed down high-powered offenses yet.
Recent Team Streaks
Hamilton won its last game over the Ottawa Redblacks by a score of 30-15. The Lions are coming off a 33-27 loss to the Saskatchewan Roughriders. The level of competition for both teams should even out somewhat in this game. It will be interesting to see how both teams handle that in this matchup.
Betting Trends & H2H
- Hamilton is 4-2 straight up and 3-3 against the spread this season.
- BC is 3-4 both straight up and against the spread for the year.
- The Lions are 1-2 straight up and against the spread at home.
- Hamilton is 2-1 straight up and against the spread in their first three road games.
Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs BC Lions Model Projection
Score Projection: Hamilton 28 – BC 24
Win Probability: Hamilton 62%, BC 38%
Final Thoughts
This should be a really fun game to watch because of the passing attacks on both sides. Mitchell should have another big game through the air for the Ti-Cats. And Rourke should do plenty to help BC with his passing as well. I think this game comes down to whichever team has the ball last. I’ll take the points with Hamilton and I also recommend the over in a game where offense should rule the day.