The Edmonton Elks and Ottawa Redblacks will face off in Week 12 of the CFL season at TD Place in Ottawa. Both of these teams have just three wins on the season and are in desperate need of a victory to avoid letting this season get further away from them. Before kickoff from Ottawa, I’ve broken down this matchup and you can get my Elks vs Redblacks prediction below.
Our Elks vs Redblacks Pick
- Pick: Edmonton Elks -3.5
- Confidence: ★★★☆☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Edmonton Elks at Ottawa Redblacks
- Date & Time: Friday, August 22, 2025, 7:30 p.m. EDT
- Venue: TD Place Stadium, Ottawa
- Broadcast: TSN / RDS
Elks vs Redblacks Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Elks -3.5 | Elks -198 / Redblacks +164 | 53.5 |
Key Storylines
Recent Form
- The Elks enter this encounter with a 3–6 record. They’ve won two straight games going into this contest. They earned a 28–20 home win over Toronto in Week 11 and a 23–22 victory at Montreal the week before that. They have a golden opportunity to get a third straight victory in this game against an Ottawa team that is dealing with a key injury concern at quarterback.
- Ottawa sits at 3–7 and are in third place in the East Division. The Redblacks had a two-game winning streak snapped last week when they lost on the road against the Winnipeg Blue Bombers. Ottawa will look to bounce back but will need to overcome the absence of their starting quarterback.
Quarterback Play
Redblacks starting quarterback Dru Brown is set to miss this game due to injury for the Redblacks. We will see them go to their bench in an attempt to get enough offensive production to win this contest at home. Edmonton is also dealing with quarterback volatility. They have gone with a combination of Cody Fajardo and Tre Ford this season and it will take some consistency at quarterback from either team to win this contest.
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Elks are 3-6 straight up this season and they are 5-4 against the spread this season.
- The Redblacks are 3-7 straight up and they are 5-5 against the spread in 2025.
- Edmonton games have gone 6-3 to the under so far this season.
- Ottawa has split its 10 games in the over/under market this season at 5-5.
Elks vs Redblacks Model Projection
Score Projection: Edmonton Elks 28 – Ottawa Redblacks 21
Win Probability: Edmonton Elks 55% – Ottawa Redblacks 45%
Final Thoughts
The Ottawa Redblacks were heading in the right direction before Dru Brown’s injury. But now they have to go back to their bench at the quarterback position and I’m not sure they will be able to do that successfully. Edmonton has figured out a way to overcome their quarterback adversity and I think that they will find a way to win and cover the spread as the favorite in this contest.
