The Edmonton Elks will head into Hamilton Stadium on Saturday to take on the East Division–leading Hamilton Tiger-Cats. The Elks are 5-8 and still clinging to slim playoff hopes, while the Tiger-Cats are 8-5 and looking to secure the top seed in the East. Hamilton enters off a win over Winnipeg and Edmonton suffered a close loss to Toronto. Before these teams face off on Saturday, you can keep reading to get my Elks vs Tiger-Cats prediction for the weekend.
Our Elks vs Tiger-Cats Pick
- Pick: Hamilton Tiger-Cats −5.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Edmonton Elks vs Hamilton Tiger-Cats
- Date & Time: Saturday, September 20, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Hamilton Stadium, Hamilton, Ontario
- Broadcast: TSN
Elks vs Tiger-Cats Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| HAM −5.5 | HAM −250 / EDM +205 | 56.5 |
Key Storylines
- Division stakes: Hamilton looks to solidify their status as the East Division’s top seed with a win. Edmonton needs a win to stay in playoff contention in the West.
- Offensive production gaps: Hamilton has been among the league leaders in scoring and total offense. Edmonton has struggled to maintain consistency on that side of the ball.
- Elks’ defense under pressure: Edmonton gives up large passing numbers and has allowed opponents to exploit them downfield through the air.
- Momentum & confidence: Hamilton comes off a convincing victory over Winnipeg. Edmonton lost a close one to Toronto. The Ti-Cats are in a better spot from a momentum standpoint going into this game.
Quarterback Play
Hamilton’s Bo Levi Mitchell continues to be among the top CFL QBs in 2025. He is completing a high percentage of his passes and has multiple 200+ yard performances recently. In the Week 15 win over Winnipeg, Mitchell went 21-of-28 for 230 yards and two touchdowns with no interceptions. His consistency makes him dangerous, especially at home.
Edmonton’s quarterback is Cody Fajardo. In the loss to Toronto, he completed 25 of 28 passes for 229 yards and two touchdowns with no picks. But the Elks’ offense lacks supporting production and their passing game ranks in the lower half of the league.
Betting Trends & H2H
- Hamilton is 8-5 straight up and 6-7 against the spread for the season.
- Edmonton is 5-8 straight up and 8-5 against the spread.
- Hamilton defeated Edmonton 28-24 in Week 9 earlier this season.
Elks vs Tiger-Cats Model Projection
Score Projection: Hamilton Tiger-Cats 31 – Edmonton Elks 17
Win Probability: Hamilton 75%, Edmonton 25%
Final Thoughts
Edmonton enters this game with enough desperation that they could hang around early. But Hamilton has too many advantages going into this contest. They have home-field advantage, superior quarterback consistency, better offensive weapons, and a defense capable of making key stops. The under is also appealing given Edmonton’s inconsistency in putting up points consistently and Hamilton’s tendency to protect leads rather than run up huge scores against weaker opponents. All things considered, going with the Tiger-Cats to win by a touchdown and to cover the spread looks like the sharpest play.
