The Calgary Stampeders and Hamilton Tiger-Cats will play in Week 19 in the CFL season on Saturday afternoon. For Calgary, this is huge game for their chances of staying in the Western playoff chase, while Hamilton is chasing an East Division title. This is the only game of the week between teams with winning records in the CFL. Before it kicks off, continue reading to get my Stampeders vs Tiger-Cats prediction.
Our Stampeders vs Tiger-Cats Pick
- Pick: Hamilton Tiger-Cats –3
- Confidence: 4/5
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Calgary Stampeders vs Hamilton Tiger-Cats
- Date & Time: Saturday, October 11, 2025, 3:00 p.m. ET
- Venue: Tim Hortons Field, Hamilton, Ontario
- Broadcast: TSN
Stampeders vs Tiger-Cats Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Tiger-Cats –3 | Hamilton -155 / Calgary +130 | 56.5 |
Key Storylines
- Hamilton is pushing to secure the East Division crown and earn home-field advantage for the playoffs. They enter at 10–6, which is the second-best record in the league.
- Calgary is 8–7 and must win to remain in contention in the West. They are under pressure to produce a strong road showing late in the season here.
- Offensively, both teams are capable of explosive plays and both of these defenses will be tested.
- The pressure of a game with stakes this high could impact the quality of play on the field, as players could make uncharacteristic mistakes under the bright lights of this spot.
Quarterback Play
Calgary quarterback Vernon Adams Jr. has shown flashes of brilliance but also has been vulnerable to turnovers. In their most recent outing, he passed for 303 yards, threw two touchdowns, but also had three interceptions. Those miscues must be cleaned up for Calgary to have real hope.
Hamilton’s Bo Levi Mitchell has been efficient and capable of taking over games. In their last win, he completed 18 of 25 passes for 320 yards and four touchdowns, with just one interception. His ability to balance risk and reward in passing situations is a key advantage.
Betting Trends & H2H
- Hamilton is 7-9 against the spread this season.
- Calgary is 7-8 against the spread going into Week 19.
- The Ti-Cats have seen nine of their first 16 games stay under their totals.
- Calgary is 7-8 in the over/under market heading into this week’s game.
- The Ti-Cats are just 2-5 against the spread at home going into this week.
- Calgary is 3-4 against the spread on the road.
Stampeders vs Tiger-Cats Model Projection
Score Projection: Hamilton 30 – Calgary 24
Win Probability: Hamilton 63%, Calgary 37%
Final Thoughts
This is easily the most interesting game of the week in the CFL and I think it will be a competitive one. Still, my expectation is for Hamilton to get the job done at home to secure the East Division title. The Stamps have a losing record on the road, while the Ti-Cats are 4-3 on their home turf. I’ll lay the points with Hamilton in this contest, as they should cause some problems for the Stamps in the playoff race out West.
