The Calgary Stampeders ran over the Edmonton Elks during last week’s Labour Day Classic action. Edmonton will look for revenge this weekend as they host the Stamps in the return leg of that matchup from Commonwealth Stadium. Before this game closes out the CFL Week 14 schedule, continue reading to get my Stampeders vs Elks prediction from Edmonton.
Our Stampeders vs Elks Pick
- Pick: Edmonton Elks +7
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Calgary Stampeders vs Edmonton Elks
- Date & Time: Saturday, September 6, 2025, 7:00 PM EDT
- Venue: The Brick Field at Commonwealth Stadium, Edmonton, AB
- Broadcast: TSN
Stampeders vs Elks Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Calgary -7 | Calgary -310 / Edmonton +250 | 50.5 |
Key Storylines
- Calgary’s Dominant Defense: The Stampeders’ defense has been strong this season. They are allowing just 19.45 points per game. That is the lowest average in the league. Their recent 28-7 victory over the Elks showcased their defensive prowess as they limited Edmonton to just seven points and 99 rushing yards.
- Edmonton’s Struggles at Home: The Elks have faced difficulties at home. They have a 2-3 record at Commonwealth Stadium and a 0-5 record against West Division opponents this season. They will try to reverse both of those trends by winning this division matchup at home.
- Quarterback Play: Calgary’s Vernon Adams Jr. has been effective. He ranks fifth in the CFL in passing yards and he has nearly twice as many touchdown passes as interceptions on the year. Edmonton’s Cody Fajardo has shown flashes of potential but has struggled with consistency since taking over under center for benched quarterback Tre Ford.
Betting Trends & H2H
- Calgary: The Stamps are 7-4 against the spread this season and have a 3-1 record on the road. They have been dominant against West Division opponents with a 6-0 division record.
- Edmonton: Edmonton is 5-1 ATS in their last six games but have struggled against Calgary. The Elks have a 1-4-1 ATS record in their last six home games against the Stampeders.
- Over/Under: The total has gone under in each of Edmonton’s last five games. The over has hit in nine of the last 13 meetings between these teams.
Stampeders vs Elks Model Projection
Score Projection: Calgary 24 – Edmonton 20
Win Probability: Calgary 65%, Edmonton 35%
Final Thoughts
The Stampeders are deserved favourites based on the way they have been playing. But I think that this game is going to be a close one. Calgary isn’t going to be as dangerous on both sides of the ball as they were at home against this same opponent last week. Edmonton will cover the number at home, though I think Calgary will ultimately win the game.
