Week 14 of the 2025 CFL season will kick off with a Friday night matchup between the BC Lions and Ottawa Redblacks. Both teams are below .500 for the season and are in fourth place in their respective divisions. They will be looking for a key victory here as they try to avoid moving further in the wrong direction in the race for the playoffs. Before kickoff from Ottawa, continue reading to get my Lions vs Redblacks prediction.
Our Lions vs Redblacks Pick
- Pick: BC Lions –6.5
- Confidence: 4/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: BC Lions vs Ottawa Redblacks
- Date & Time: Friday, September 5, 2025, 7:30 p.m. ET
- Venue: TD Place Stadium, Ottawa
- Broadcast: TSN
Lions vs Redblacks Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| BC –6.5 | BC -278 / OTT +225 | 54.5 |
Key Storylines
- BC comes into this game off a bye. They had a two-game winning streak snapped in their last game when they allowed 52 points to the Toronto Argonauts in Week 12. The Lions will try to bounce back from that lackluster performance on defense.
- Ottawa continues to deal with a long list of absences. They have been without injured QB Dru Brown and several key linemen. Brown hasn’t been ruled out of this game yet but he isn’t going to be at 100% no matter what.
- Both defences have struggled. Both teams have allowed 30 or more points in four of their last five games.
Quarterback Play
Nathan Rourke leads a high-octane Lions offence with sharp passing. He threw for 326 yards and two touchdowns in the previous game against Toronto despite the loss. Rourke is third in the CFL in passing yardage and is one of just three quarterbacks with over 3,000 yards entering Week 14.
Ottawa could start Dustin Crum in place of the injured Dru Brown. Bettors may want to wait until an official announcement is made on Brown before locking in any wagers. His status could have a big impact on where the line moves ahead of kickoff.
Betting Trends & H2H
- BC is 5-6 both straight up and against the spread this season.
- The Lions are 7-4 to the over in their games this year.
- Ottawa is 3-8 straight up but a more respectable 5-6 against the spread.
- Ottawa has gone 5-6 on over/unders to this point in the season.
Lions vs Redblacks Model Projection
Score Projection: BC Lions 34 – Ottawa Redblacks 24
Win Probability: BC Lions 65%, Ottawa Redblacks 35%
Final Thoughts
The uncertainty at the quarterback situation for Ottawa makes this a tough game to handicap. But I do think that BC will get a win on the road and cover the spread without knowing for sure who Ottawa’s quarterback will be. Rourke has been efficient throwing the football for BC and that should continue regardless of who is doing the passing for Ottawa in this game.
