The Washington Mystics will face the Los Angeles Sparks on Sunday night at Crypto.com Arena. The Sparks are fighting for their playoff lives and will hope that a rest advantage will benefit them in this contest. Before tip-off from Los Angeles, continue reading to get my Mystics vs Sparks prediction for this huge matchup.
Our Mystics vs Sparks Pick
- Pick: Los Angeles Sparks -8.5
- Confidence: 4/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Washington Mystics at Los Angeles Sparks
- Date & Time: August 31, 2025, 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, California
- Broadcast: WNBA League Pass
Mystics vs Sparks Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Sparks -8.5 | Mystics +310, Sparks -395 | 170.5 |
Key Storylines
- Los Angeles is the only team in the WNBA that isn’t in the top eight and hasn’t been eliminated yet. The Sparks need to keep winning to have a chance at making the playoffs.
- The Mystics are on the second night of a back-to-back and have been eliminated from playoff contention. All of that could impact their desire to compete in this contest.
- Washington has a great rookie duo of Kiki Iriafen and Sonia Citron who should continue to play hard for the Mystics even if their playoff hopes are no longer.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
Past meetings
The Sparks are 2-1 against the Mystics so far this season.
ATS records
Los Angeles is 15-21-1 against the spread this season. Washington is 18-22 on the year.
Home/road splits
The Mystics are 6-14 on the road in 2025. Los Angeles is 7-12 on their home floor.
Advanced Metrics & Trends
- Los Angeles is fifth in the WNBA in offensive rating and 11th in defensive rating.
- Washington ranks 11th in offensive rating and ninth in defensive rating in 2025.
- The key matchup in this game will be the depleted guard group of the Mystics trying to guard the incredibly impactful Kelsey Plum of the Sparks.
Mystics vs Sparks Model Projection
Score Projection: Washington 77 – Los Angeles 88
Win Probability: Washington 35%, Los Angeles 65%
Final Thoughts
Los Angeles is in a must-win situation and has a huge rest edge against the Mystics going into this game. We should see the Sparks win this game with some margin and keep their playoff hopes alive for at least another day. I recommend laying the points with Los Angeles here as they should get the job done on their home floor.
