The Seattle Storm will face off against the Phoenix Mercury on Saturday, June 7, 2025, in a Western Conference showdown. Both teams have had their share of momentum swings early in the season. The Storm are seeking consistency after a tumultuous start, while Phoenix is looking to build on their recent comeback in Commissioner’s Cup play. Continue reading to get our Seattle Storm vs Phoenix Mercury prediction ahead of what should be a good game from The Valley.
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Seattle Storm Betting Preview
Seattle enters Saturday with a 4‑4 record and has tried to forge an identity amid off‑court distractions. The team has been under the spotlight for alleged coaching controversies and internal tension, particularly involving trade rumors around Li Yueru and previous complaints tied to former star Jewell Loyd. While sources have denied an active investigation, these distractions could still linger. On the court, the Storm haven’t separated themselves in the West, hovering around .500.
Offensively, Seattle has struggled with consistency, averaging 79.3 points per game. Skylar Diggins is having an All-Star caliber year individually, averaging 16.8 points and 6.4 assists per game. But this team has only three players averaging double figures in scoring this season, with Nneka Ogwumike and Gabby Williams joining Diggins in that club. But more consistent scoring contributions from elsewhere would be a huge help for this team as they look to assert themselves as Western Conference contenders.
So far this season, the Storm and Mercury have played twice already. The home team has won both of those games, with the Storm winning 77-70 at Climate Pledge Arena in the most recent game between these teams. That might not bode well for the Storm, who are on the road in this game. Seattle is 1-2 on the road overall and will aim to get to .500 away from home here.
Phoenix Mercury Betting Preview
Phoenix comes into this game with an overall record of 6-3, propelled by a 5-1 record on their home floor. In Commissioner’s Cup play, they pulled off a rally against Golden State, powered by a strong performance from rookie Lexi Held, who contributed a career‑high 24 points and converted on four threes. Now the Mercury will look for a second win in a row as they aim to stay in the top four in the WNBA standings through the weekend.
While the Storm only have three double-digit scorers on their roster, the Mercury only have two. Satou Sabally and Alyssa Thomas both average over 15 points per game, but the rest of their roster holds a much smaller role. Thomas is questionble for this game with a calf ailment that has kept her out of recent games. If Sabally and Thomas struggle to score against Ogwumike and Ezi Magbegor, it will be up to the other players on the Mercury roster to do enough scoring to help them win this game.
The defense of the Mercury is its greatest strength. They allow 76.9 points per game on average. That defense will need to be on point if the Mercury are going to improve to 6-1 on their home floor and to get their second home win over the Storm in as many tries.
Seattle Storm vs Phoenix Mercury Betting Odds
- Spread: Seattle −4.5
- Moneyline: Storm -198, Mercury +164
- Total (Over/Under): 157
Lines favor a tight contest, with Seattle as slight favorites based on the injury report for Phoenix. But if Thomas is made available to return, we could see things move in Phoenix’s favor. No matter which bet you like best, you can use our DraftKings Sportsbook bonus code to bet $5 and get $300 in bonus bets if your first bet wins.
Seattle Storm vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction
With uncertainty surrounding the core of the Mercury roster going into this game, we expect some struggles for Phoenix against the best opponent they’ve played since Thomas’ injury. Diggins should be able to control this game both with her scoring and passing, while Sabally won’t be able to do enough individually to win this game, barring another breakout game from one of the Phoenix role players.
Final call: I’ll take Seattle to win by 7 points, covering the 4.5-point spread. However, for those wary of the lack of scoring depth on both sides, a smaller wager on the under total might be wise. My official prediction: Seattle Storm 80, Phoenix Mercury 73.
