The Seattle Storm and Indiana Fever will play on Tuesday night in a huge game in the race for the WNBA playoffs. Both teams enter this game in the top eight in the WNBA standings and will look for a crucial win to help keep them there. Before tip-off from Indianapolis, continue reading to get my analysis for this game and my Storm vs Fever prediction.
Our Storm vs Fever Pick
- Pick: Seattle Storm -2
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Seattle Storm @ Indiana Fever
- Date & Time: Tuesday, August 26, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN
- Broadcast: CBS Sports Network
Storm vs Fever Odds
Betting Market | Seattle Storm | Indiana Fever |
---|---|---|
Spread | -2 | +2 |
Moneyline | -135 | +114 |
Total | Over 163 | Under 163 |
Key Storylines
- Injuries: The Fever are dealing with significant injuries. The Indiana Fever are without star guard Caitlin Clark due to a groin injury and a recent ankle setback. They are also missing several guards due to season-ending injuries and they have struggled because of those absences.
- Recent Form: The Storm have won three straight games and have moved up to sixth in the WNBA standings coming into this contest. Indiana has struggled with two straight losses to the Minnesota Lynx and four losses in their last five games.
- Playoff Implications: Both teams are vying for playoff positioning heading into this game. Seattle is sixth in the WNBA standings and just a half-game ahead of the seventh and eighth-place teams in the league. Indiana is eighth in the standings and just a game ahead of ninth-place Los Angeles.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- Past Meetings: The Fever are 2-0 against the Storm so far this season. Both of those wins came in Seattle and this is the first matchup between these teams in Indiana.
- ATS Records: The Storm have a 16-22 record against the spread for the season. Indiana is also below .500 against the spread for the year at 17-20.
- Home/Road Splits: The Fever have a 10-9 record at home and the Storm have a 12-8 record on the road.
Advanced Metrics & Trends
- Offensive/Defensive Metrics: The Storm are eighth in the league in offensive rating and third in defensive rating. Indiana is fifth in the WNBA in offensive rating and eighth in defensive rating.
- Pace of Play: Both teams play at a moderate pace and their tempo shouldn’t influence the total too heavily in either direction.
- Key Mismatches: The Storm’s depth at the guard spots could give them an advantage given all of the injuries to Indiana’s backcourt.
Seattle Storm vs Indiana Fever Model Projection
- Score Projection: Seattle Storm 85 – Indiana Fever 80
- Win Probability: Seattle Storm 55%, Indiana Fever 45%
Final Thoughts
If the Fever were healthy, this would be a game I would expect them to win at home. But all of the injuries to Indiana’s guards will be too much for them to overcome in this contest. I’ll lay the points with the Storm on the road here as the Fever’s struggles should continue.