The Las Vegas Aces and New York Liberty will play in the WNBA on Wednesday night. This game features the last three championship teams in the W. Both of them are looking to prove that they are a championship-caliber team again this year. Before tip-off between these proud franchises, you can continue reading to get my Liberty vs Aces prediction from the Las Vegas.
Our Liberty vs Aces Prediction
- Pick: Las Vegas Aces –2
- Confidence: 4/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: New York Liberty @ Las Vegas Aces
- Date & Time: Wednesday, August 13, 2025, 9:30 PM ET
- Venue: Michelob ULTRA Arena, Las Vegas, NV
- Broadcast: ESPN
Liberty vs Aces Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Aces –2 | Liberty +120 / Aces –140 | 170 |
Key Storylines
- The Liberty are tied for second place in the WNBA standings but they have struggled lately. An injury to Breanna Stewart has caused them problems and they will look to get a big win for their playoff positioning here.
- The Aces have momentum going into this game. They are on a four-game winning streak and will benefit from playing at home in this contest.
- This is the second game of a back-to-back for the Aces and it will be interesting to see how they deal with fatigue after playing the LA Sparks on Tuesday night.
- This is a big game for the Aces from a playoff seeding standpoint as well. Vegas is in the top six in the league standings entering Wednesday and a win would be huge for their chances of moving up.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- The Aces hold a 2-0 lead in the season series between these teams. Both of those games were in New York and this is the first meeting between these teams in Vegas this year.
- New York has the worst ATS record in the WNBA this season.
- The Aces are 14-18 against the spread for the year.
Advanced Metrics & Trends
- The Liberty play with the fastest pace in the WNBA. Vegas ranks sixth in pace and will try to slow New York down.
- The most important matchup in this game will be the matchup between A’ja Wilson and Jonquel Jones. Jones has a size advantage over Wilson but Wilson is quicker and could move Jones away from the basket when the Liberty are on defense.
Liberty vs Aces Model Projection
Score Projection: Liberty 84 – Aces 89
Win Probability: Liberty 41%, Aces 59%
Final Thoughts
There are a few of key factors working against the Liberty in this game. New York is on the road in this game and they have been mediocre on the road this season. Then there is fact that the Liberty are without Stewart and are on the second leg of a back-to-back. Las Vegas should take advantage of all of those problems facing the Liberty and win this game on their home floor.
