The Las Vegas Aces will host the Minnesota Lynx in a matchup of two of the WNBA’s top teams on Thursday night. The Lynx demolished the Aces in Las Vegas the last time these teams met. Las Vegas will be out for revenge and to extend their impressive winning streak. Before tip-off from T-Mobile Arena, continue reading to get my Lynx vs Aces prediction for tonight.
Our Lynx vs Aces Pick
- Pick: Las Vegas Aces Moneyline
- Confidence: 4/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Minnesota Lynx @ Las Vegas Aces
- Date & Time: Thursday, September 4, 2025, 10:00 PM ET
- Venue: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV
- Broadcast: Prime Video
Lynx vs Aces Odds
Market | Odds |
---|---|
Spread | MIN -2 |
Moneyline | MIN -135 / LV +115 |
Total | Over/Under 164 |
Key Storylines
- The Aces have won 12 games in a row coming into this contest. They have gone from being a fringe playoff team to possibly finishing second in the WNBA standings. A win tonight would move them back into second place and Las Vegas has to be confident in their ability to get that win.
- Minnesota has nothing left to play for in terms of playoff seeding. They have locked up the top seed in the upcoming playoffs. But they are still playing to maintain their momentum going into the playoffs.
- The Lynx beat the Aces by 53 points in Las Vegas the last time these teams played. Anyone who has ever played sports competitively will know that the Aces will want to avenge that embarrassing defeat tonight. But that will be easier said than done against an elite Lynx team.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- Past Meetings: The Lynx have won all three games they have played against the Aces this season.
- ATS Records: Minnesota is 24-15-1 ATS this season. Las Vegas is 20-19-1 ATS on the year.
- O/U Records: The Lynx are 20-18-2 on over/unders in 2025. The Aces are 19-21 in their totals.
Advanced Metrics & Trends
- Offensive Metrics: Minnesota leads the league in offensive rating. The Aces are sixth in that category.
- Defensive Metrics: The Lynx are also number one in the WNBA in defensive rating. Las Vegas is eighth.
- Pace of Play: Both teams play at a fairly average pace. Las Vegas is seventh in the WNBA in pace and Minnesota ranks 10th.
Lynx vs Aces Model Projection
- Score Projection: Minnesota Lynx 85 – Las Vegas Aces 88
- Win Probability: Minnesota 49%, Las Vegas 51%
Final Thoughts
This is a very different Aces team than the one that got steamrolled by the Lynx earlier in the season. Las Vegas has won 12 games in a row and is operating at a much higher level now that they have figured out their rotations a little better. I will take the Aces to win this game at home and to make a statement that they are not to be left out of any discussion surrounding the WNBA championship this year.