The Minnesota Lynx will visit the Indiana Fever on Friday night in the WNBA. The Lynx are on the second night of a back-to-back in this game and are dealing with a brutal travel schedule before playing Indiana. The Fever are dealing with adversity of their own in the form of injuries. But someone has to win this contest and I’ll let you know who I think it will be with my Lynx vs Fever prediction for Friday night.
Our Lynx vs Fever Pick
- Pick: Minnesota Lynx -5.5
- Confidence: 3/5
- Bonus Bets For Friday Night: Use bet365 promo code ATSBONUS to bet $5 and get $200 in bonus bets for this game!
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Minnesota Lynx @ Indiana Fever
- Date & Time: August 22, 2025, 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN
- Broadcast: ION
Lynx vs Fever Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Lynx -5.5 | Lynx -198 / Fever +164 | 163.5 |
Key Storylines
- The Lynx lost on Thursday night to the Atlanta Dream and will need to travel from Atlanta to Indianapolis overnight for this game. That could impact them negatively going into this matchup.
- Napheesa Collier was upgraded to questionable before Thursday’s game against the Dream. She didn’t play in Atlanta but could play against Indiana on Friday.
- Indiana is dealing with injury issues of their own. Guards Caitlin Clark, Sophie Cunningham, Sydney Colson, and Aari McDonald are all out of action. The latter three players on that list are out for the season.
- Indiana won the Commissioner’s Cup final against the Lynx earlier in the season and will look to beat them again in this contest.
- Minnesota is closing in on clinching the top seed in the WNBA playoffs this season. Indiana is in sixth place and is fighting for playoff seeding down the stretch.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- This is the first regular-season meeting between these teams this year. Indiana’s Commissioner’s Cup win over Minnesota did not count toward the regular-season standings.
- Indiana has lost two of its last three games coming into this matchup.
- Minnesota has dropped two games in a row to title contenders Atlanta and New York.
- The Lynx are 11-6 on the road this season.
- Indiana is 10-8 at home in 2025.
Advanced Metrics & Trends
- Minnesota leads the WNBA in offensive rating, defensive rating, and net rating this season.
- Indiana is fifth in the league in offensive rating but eighth in defensive rating.
- Indiana is 17-18 against the spread for the season.
- The Lynx are 20-14-1 against the spread.
Lynx vs Fever Model Projection
Score Projection: Minnesota Lynx 85 – Indiana Fever 78
Win Probability: Minnesota Lynx 62%, Indiana Fever 38%
Final Thoughts
The back-to-back situation for the Lynx is certainly a concern going into this game. But the possible return of Collier could nullify some of the fatigue factor that a team would normally face when playing for the second straight night. Indiana’s banged-up frontcourt will struggle to contain Courtney Williams and the Lynx should win this game convincingly to avenge their loss in the Commissioner’s Cup final.
