The Seattle Storm will host the Los Angeles Sparks at Climate Pledge Arena on Friday night. Seattle is in the race for a top four spot in the WNBA standings during the second half of the season. Los Angeles is looking to make up some ground to get to the playoffs. Before this high-stakes matchup in women’s basketball, continue reading to get my Sparks vs Storm prediction.
Our Sparks vs Storm Pick
- Pick: Seattle Storm –5.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Los Angeles Sparks @ Seattle Storm
- Date & Time: August 1, 2025, 10:00 PM ET
- Venue: Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle, WA
- Broadcast: ION
Sparks vs Storm Odds
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Spread | Storm -5.5 |
| Moneyline | Storm -250 / Sparks +205 |
| Total | 166.5 |
Key Storylines
- The Sparks had a four-game winning streak snapped in their last outing. They lost by 15 points at home to the Las Vegas Aces on Tuesday.
- Cameron Brink will make her second appearance of the season for the Sparks in this game. Brink will likely not play a full game’s worth of minutes as she eases her way back from injury. But her return to the floor is great news for the Sparks in the long run.
- The Storm are coming off a three-game road trip in which they went 2-1. They will look for another win here to move closer to locking up a top four spot in the WNBA standings.
- These teams are linked by the three-team trade they were involved in this offseason. That trade sent Kelsey Plum to the Sparks from the Aces and Jewell Loyd from the Storm to the Aces.
Head‑to‑Head & Betting Trends
- This is the second meeting between these teams this season. Seattle won the first meeting by 31 points in Los Angeles in mid-June.
- Los Angeles is 8-6 on the road this season. Seattle is 8-5 at home.
- The Storm are 14-13 against the spread this season. The Sparks are 11-14-1 against the spread for the year.
Best Player Props to Watch
| Player | Prop | Analysis |
|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Plum | Over 18.5 points | Plum averages 20.2 PPG and should have a high usage rate again in this contest. |
| Nneka Ogwumike | Over 16.5 points | Ogwumike scored 26 in the previous meeting between these teams and is shooting 51.9% this season. She should have a matchup advantage inside. |
| Skylar Diggins | Over 5.5 assists | Diggins leads Seattle with 5.8 APG and should orchestrate effectively against a lackluster Los Angeles defense. |
Advanced Metrics & Trends
- The Sparks rank fifth in the WNBA in offensive rating. Seattle is ninth in the league offensively.
- Seattle is second in the WNBA in defensive rating. Los Angeles is 11th out of 13 teams in that statistic.
- The Storm rank ninth in pace and will look to slow this game down. Los Angeles is third in the league in pace.
Sparks vs Storm Model Projection
Score Projection: Seattle 86 – Sparks 78
Win Probability: Seattle 71%, Sparks 29%
Final Thoughts
The defense of the Storm should allow them to get a second straight win over the Sparks this season. While the Sparks have one of the better offenses in the W, we saw them struggle to put points on the board at home against the Storm earlier in the year. I think we see a similar story play out in this game and for the Storm to cover the spread as a favorite.
