The first regular season game in Golden State Valkyries history came against the Los Angeles Sparks at the start of this season. The Valkyries lost that game but have won two against the Sparks since then. They will play for the final time in the regular season on Friday night in a game with huge WNBA playoff implications. Here, you will find my breakdown of this game, including my Sparks vs Valkyries prediction.
Our Sparks vs Valkyries Pick
- Pick: Los Angeles Sparks
- Confidence: 3/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Los Angeles Sparks @ Golden State Valkyries
- Date & Time: Saturday, August 9, 2025, 8:30 PM ET
- Venue: Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
- Broadcast: WNBA League Pass
Sparks vs Valkyries Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Sparks –1.5 | Sparks –125 / Valkyries +105 | 165.5 |
Key Storylines
- The Sparks are red-hot. They have won eight of their last nine games and have scored 100+ points in five of their last six. They most recently earned a 102-91 victory over the Connecticut Sun.
- Playoff positioning is on the line in this game. Both teams are battling for the eighth seed in the WNBA standings and the winner of this game will be in eighth place while the loser will be in ninth.
- Kelsey Plum has torched the Valkyries in two of the three meetings between these teams this year. Plum is averaging 25.7 points per game against Golden State this season and will look to punish them again in this game.
- The Valkyries are without Kayla Thornton due to a season-ending injury. Thornton’s absence could hurt the Valkyries here. This is also the first game for Cameron Brink against the Valkyries since her return to action.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- Season Series: Valkyries lead 2-1. Golden State has won the last two meetings between these teams.
- The road team is 3-0 in games played between LA and Golden State this season.
- The Valkyries are 17-12 against the spread this season.
- The Sparks are 14-14-1 against the spread on the year.
- Los Angeles is 9-6 on the road in 2025.
- Golden State has gone 8-5 on their home floor.
Advanced Metrics & Trends
- The Sparks have averaged 103.3 points per game in the month of August so far.
- Golden State is averaging 74.0 points per game through three games in August.
- The Sparks are fourth in the WNBA in offensive rating. Golden State ranks 10th out of 13 teams.
- Golden State is sixth in the league in defensive rating. LA is 11th in the league in that category.
Sparks vs Valkyries Model Projection
Score Projection: Sparks 92 – Valkyries 87
Win Probability: Sparks 60%, Valkyries 40%
Final Thoughts
I am not going to pick against the LA Sparks with the way they are playing basketball right now. LA is getting everything they want offensively and the return of Brink has made them slightly better at guarding the lane than they were when she was out. I will take the Sparks to win their ninth game out of 10 with a win here.
