The Los Angeles Sparks will travel to Arlington on Friday to face the Dallas Wings. Both of these Western Conference teams are outside of the top eight in the WNBA standings. But Los Angeles is much closer to moving up and claiming a playoff spot. They will look to get a key road win in this matchup from College Park Center. Continue reading to get my breakdown of this game, including my Sparks vs Wings prediction.
Our Sparks vs Wings Pick
- Pick: Los Angeles Sparks -3.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Los Angeles Sparks @ Dallas Wings
- Date & Time: August 15, 2025, 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: College Park Center, Arlington, TX
- Broadcast: ION
Sparks vs Wings Odds
| Odds | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sparks | -3.5 | -166 | Over 179 |
| Wings | +3.5 | +140 | Under 179 |
Key Storylines
- The Sparks enter this game at 15-17 on the season. They are in ninth place in the league standings and they are a half-game behind the Seattle Storm for eighth place. They have lost two of their last three games and will look for a key victory for their playoff hopes here.
- Cameron Brink of the Sparks is listed as game-time decision after suffering an ankle injury against the New York Liberty earlier this week.
- Dallas’ Arike Ogunbowale is listed as day-to-day going into this game. She is dealing with a knee injury and it will be interesting to see how the Wings handle her late in the season now that they are out of the chase to make the playoffs.
- Dallas just eked out an 81-80 win in Indiana in their last game. They had Paige Bueckers back on the floor and that helped them generate offense more efficiently.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
The Sparks lead the season series 1-0. They won the first meeting between these teams 93-79 back in June. That game went under its total of 173.5 points. The Sparks are 15-16-1 against the spread for the season. Dallas is 16-17 against the spread on the year.
Home/Road Splits
- The Sparks are 9-7 on the road for the season.
- Dallas is 5-12 at home and have struggled no matter where their games have been.
Advanced Metrics & Trends
- The Sparks are fourth in the WNBA in offensive rating. Dallas is ninth in that category.
- Both teams are in the bottom four in the league in defensive rating. Dallas is 10th in the league in defense and the Sparks are 11th.
- Both of these teams are in the top five in the WNBA in pace and that uptempo style could impact where the game lands relative to the total.
Sparks vs Wings Model Projection
Score Projection: Sparks 90 – Wings 81
Win Probability: Sparks 72%, Wings 28%
Final Thoughts
The Sparks have been inconsistent throughout this season. But inconsistent is a lot better than being consistently bad. Dallas has been consistently bad this season and I expect that to continue against a Sparks team that is hungry to keep winning and give themselves a chance to make the playoffs. I’ll lay the points with LA here.
