The Atlanta Dream and Los Angeles Sparks will meet for the second game in a row when they face off on Friday night. The Dream defeated the Sparks on Wednesday night and will look to secure a sweep of the season series with a victory on Friday. Before this game tips off from the home of the Dream, continue reading to get my thoughts on the matchup and my Sparks vs Dream prediction.
Our Sparks vs Dream Pick
- Pick: LA Sparks +6
- Confidence: ★★★☆☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Los Angeles Sparks @ Atlanta Dream
- Date & Time: Friday, September 5, 2025, 7:30 p.m. ET
- Venue: Gateway Center Arena, College Park, GA
- Broadcast: ION
Sparks vs Dream Odds
Spread | Moneyline | Total |
---|---|---|
Dream -6 | Dream -265 / Sparks +215 | 169 |
Key Storylines
- The Dream are in a three-way tie for second place in the WNBA entering Friday’s action. They are tied with the Las Vegas Aces and Phoenix Mercury. Both of those teams won on Thursday and Atlanta will try to keep pace tonight.
- The Sparks enter this game down 1.5 games to the eighth place Indiana Fever in the standings. LA needs wins in order to catch up over the final weeks of the season.
- The Dream could be without Allisha Gray again for this game as she nurses an injury late in the regular season.
- Rickea Jackson is listed as day-to-day for the Sparks going into Friday night.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- The Dream are 2-0 against the LA Sparks so far this season.
- Los Angeles had a two-game winning streak snapped by the Dream on Wednesday.
- Atlanta has won three straight games heading into this contest.
- Atlanta is 25-15-1 against the spread on the year.
- Los Angeles is 16-23-1 against the spread in 2025.
Advanced Metrics & Trends
- Atlanta is second in offensive rating and defensive rating in the WNBA this year.
- Los Angeles is fifth in the league in offensive rating but just 10th in defensive rating.
- The Sparks play with the fastest pace of any team in the WNBA entering Friday’s games.
- Only the Golden State Valkyries play at a slower tempo than the Dream this year.
Sparks vs Dream Model Projection
Score Projection: Sparks 82 – Dream 85
Win Probability: Sparks 39% | Dream 61%
Final Thoughts
The loss of Allisha Gray for the Dream could be a huge factor in this game. Atlanta still has plenty of offensive weapons in the event that Gray does miss this contest. But losing such a prolific scorer could hurt Atlanta’s chances of getting a big win here. I will take the points with the Sparks in this matchup, as they should keep this game close no matter who ends up winning in the end.