The Atlanta Dream will host the Los Angeles Sparks on Wednesday night in a game that is significant to both teams. Atlanta is playing for playoff seeding late in the regular season and the Sparks are fighting just to make the postseason. Which team will get a win that will help them achieve their goal? Continue reading to get my Sparks vs Dream prediction for this huge game from the ATL.
Our Sparks vs Dream Pick
- Pick: LA Sparks +7
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Los Angeles Sparks @ Atlanta Dream
- Date & Time: Wednesday, September 3, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Gateway Center Arena, College Park, GA
- Broadcast: WNBA League Pass
Sparks vs Dream Odds
| Odds | Sparks | Dream |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +7 (-110) | -7 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +245 | -305 |
| Total | 168.5 | |
Key Storylines
- Los Angeles is 19-20 and chasing the eighth playoff seed after a recent two-game winning streak.
- Atlanta sits in third place in the WNBA standings. A win tonight would move them into second place. They are thriving under Karl Smesko’s revamped offense and the Dream have also won two games in a row.
- Atlanta’s offense is firing on all cylinders. The Dream have averaged 96.5 points per game over their last two games.
- Atlanta’s Allisha Gray and Los Angeles’ Rickea Jackson are on the injury report listed as day-to-day ahead of this game. If one or both of them is unable to play it could have a huge impact on the outcome of this contest.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- Atlanta leads the season series 1-0. They got a win on the road against the Sparks on May 27.
- Atlanta will host the Sparks twice over the next three days.
- Los Angeles has a better road record (11-8) than their home record (8-12) in 2025.
- Atlanta is 13-6 at home coming into this contest.
Best Player Props to Watch
| Player | Prop | Analysis |
|---|---|---|
| Allisha Gray | Over 17.5 Points | Gray averages 18.6 points per game for the season. She will face a Sparks defense that struggles against dynamic guards. If she plays she should hit this number. |
| Rhyne Howard | Over 2.5 Made Threes | Howard has increased her three-point attempts under Smesko. She is averaging nearly 10 attempts per game. |
| Dearica Hamby | Over 7.5 Rebounds | Los Angeles relies heavily on Hamby for glass control. She will put up a fight against the size of Atlanta here. |
Advanced Metrics & Trends
- Atlanta ranks second in the league in offensive and defensive rating this year.
- Los Angeles is fifth in the WNBA in offensive rating and 10th in defensive rating out of 13 teams.
- The Sparks play with the fastest pace in the WNBA. They recently moved ahead of the New York Liberty in that department.
- Atlanta plays with the second-slowest pace in the W. Only the Golden State Valkyries play at a slower tempo.
Sparks vs Dream Model Projection
Score Projection: Sparks 81 – Dream 86
Win Probability: Sparks 34%, Dream 66%
Final Thoughts
The Atlanta Dream should pick up a win at home that will help them greatly in their attempt to grab the second seed in the WNBA playoffs. But I am going to take the points with the Sparks as the underdog in this game. They will fight tooth and nail to stay in this game to try and help their playoff chances. Expect LA to keep this game within a couple of possessions.
