The Indiana Fever and Los Angeles Sparks both have everything to play for late in the WNBA season. Indiana is fighting to improve its playoff seeding and the Sparks are giving it everything they have just to try to earn a playoff berth. These teams will play in an inter-conference WNBA matchup on Friday night in California. Before tip-off from Crypto.com Arena, keep reading to find out what my Fever vs Sparks prediction is for the game.
Our Fever vs Sparks Pick
- Pick: LA Sparks -1.5
- Confidence: 4/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Indiana Fever @ Los Angeles Sparks
- Date & Time: August 29, 2025, 10:00 PM ET
- Venue: Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA
- Broadcast: ION
Fever vs Sparks Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Sparks –1.5 | Sparks –125 / Fever +105 | 177.5 |
Key Storylines
- The Fever just delivered a statement win over Seattle at home on Tuesday. Aliyah Boston, Odyssey Sims, and Kelsey Mitchell each scored 20+ points.
- Indiana’s playoff outlook improves significantly with a win as they are just a few games away from locking up a spot. Indiana is two games clear of the teams that are outside of the playoffs and will try to get another key victory in this contest.
- The Sparks have already beaten Indiana three times this season. A win here would move the Sparks to within a game of the Fever and the Sparks hold the head-to-head tiebreaker over Indiana.
- Kelsey Plum and Kelsey Mitchell stand as the league’s third and fourth leading scorers. They are separated by just 0.3 points per game.
- Indiana is dealing with a thin backcourt. Caitlin Clark, Sophie Cunningham, Sydney Colson and Aari McDonald are all out.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
The Sparks have won three straight games over the Fever this season. Two of those wins by the Sparks came on the home floor of the Fever and the Sparks will look to complete a season sweep against Indiana with a win here.
Advanced Metrics & Trends
- Both of these teams rank in the top five in offensive rating. Indiana is third and the Sparks are fifth.
- Both teams are below average in terms of defensive rating. Indiana is eighth in the league and the Sparks are 12th.
- Both teams play at a fast pace. The Sparks are second in the WNBA in pace and the Fever rank fifth in that category.
Fever vs Sparks Model Projection
Score Projection: Indiana Fever 84 – Los Angeles Sparks 87
Win Probability: Indiana Fever 49%, Los Angeles Sparks 51%
Final Thoughts
We should be in for a close game between the Fever and Sparks. I give the slight edge to the Sparks in this contest. They have been just a bit more consistent on both ends of the floor and the Sparks should beat the Fever for the fourth time this season. I’ll back LA to get a win at home and to wrap up a regular-season sweep tonight.
