The Indiana Fever (6–5) head west to face the Golden State Valkyries (5–6) on Thursday, June 19 at Chase Center. Both clubs enter the contest with similar records, but these teams could not be more different on the court. Here, we break it all down, and give you our Indiana Fever vs Golden State Valkyries prediction for Thursday’s action in the WNBA.
Our Indiana Fever vs Golden State Valkyries Pick
- Spread: Indiana -11.5
- Total: Over 162.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Indiana Fever @ Golden State Valkyries
- Date & Time: June 19, 2025 – 10:00 pm ET
- Venue: Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
- Broadcast: Prime Video
| Market | Line |
|---|---|
| Spread | IND -11.5 |
| Moneyline | IND -675 / GSV +490 |
| Total | 162.5 |
Key Storylines
- Caitlin Clark’s Return to Peak Form: Clark returned from injury a couple of games ago and the Fever’s offense has returned with her. Indiana has averaged 95 ppg since her return.
- Golden State’s Home Surge: The Valkyries have won two straight at Chase Center, including a recent dominant win over the Aces, showcasing their potential in front of their fans.
- Rebounding and Physicality: GSV has had more success on the glass this season, but Indiana’s athletic frontcourt, anchored by Aliyah Boston, could put a stop to that for the night.
- Playoff Race Intensifies: Both teams hover near .500, and early in the season, this one could be significant in the playoff picture down the road.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- Recent matchups: This is the first game between these teams in their history and the first of a three-game season series between them this year.
- ATS records: Indiana sits 6-5 ATS for the season, Golden State is 7-4 ATS.
- O/U tendencies: 7 of 11 Indiana games have gone under, the same mark as Golden State.
- Home/Away splits: The Fever have been competitive on the road (2–2), but the Valkyries are stronger at Chase Center (3–2 home).
Best Player Props to Watch
| Player | Prop | Analysis |
|---|---|---|
| Caitlin Clark | Over 21.5 points | Clark is in rhythm and facing a GSV defense that is soft on the perimeter. |
| Aliyah Boston | Over 8.5 rebounds | Boston anchors the boards, and GSV lacks big size. Boston is likely to hit double digits on the glass. |
| Kayla Thornton | Over 15.5 Points | Has cleared this total in four straight games for the Valkyries. |
Advanced Metrics & Trends
- Offensive Efficiency: Indiana is fourth in the W in offensive rating, Golden State ranks 11th.
- Defensive Rating: The Fever are third in the league in defensive rating, the Valkyries are seventh.
- Pace: The matchup should play at a moderate pace, with both teams close to league average in that department.
- Mismatches: Clark should have an advantage against Golden State’s guards, with the same going for Boston against the lack of Valkyrie size.
Indiana Fever vs Golden State Valkyries Model Projection
Score Projection: Indiana 88 – Golden State 75
Win Probability: Indiana 68%, Golden State 32%
Final Thoughts
Indiana enters this night with momentum, a sharper offense, and their catalyst back on the floor. Golden State defends home court fiercely, but lacks consistency on offense. Betting angles favor Indiana covering a double‑digit spread, while the total should go over with both teams producing at or near the 80s on the scoreboard. Expect Clark to shine again, Boston to dominate boards, and Indiana to control tempo end‑to‑end.
