The Indiana Fever will take on the Dallas Wings on Friday night at American Airlines Center in Dallas. This was supposed to be a meeting between Caitlin Clark and Paige Bueckers in the pros. But an injury to Clark will shift the intrigue elsewhere in this matchup. Before Friday’s WNBA action begins, continue reading to get my Fever vs Wings prediction.
Our Indiana Fever vs Dallas Wings Pick
- Pick: Indiana Fever -3.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Indiana Fever @ Dallas Wings
- Date & Time: August 1, 2025, 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
- Broadcast: ION
Fever vs Wings Prediction
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Fever –3.5 | Fever -162 / Wings +136 | 170 |
Key Storylines
Indiana arrives in Dallas on a three‑game winning streak. They recently defeated Phoenix 107‑101 at home. Aari McDonald exploded for a career‑high 27 points in that game and Aliyah Boston dropped 22 and dominated the fourth quarter. Caitlin Clark is still sidelined with a right groin injury and is expected to miss until around August 12. But the Fever are making progress in figuring things out without her on the floor.
Dallas is 8‑20 for the season and continues to struggle overall. But they have shown some fight in recent wins over Seattle and New York. Rookie Paige Bueckers leads the team in scoring with 18.3 PPG. She also leads the Wings in assists and steals. Arike Ogunbowale also contributes solidly with 16 PPG. But those two stars have not had enough help to win games reliably and they will hope to get that help in this matchup.
Head‑to‑Head & Betting Trends
- Indiana leads the season series 2‑0 after winning both previous matchups. One of those wins came in Dallas and one in Indiana.
- Indiana is 6-6 on the road this year. Dallas is 5-9 at home.
- The Fever are 14-13 against the spread this season.
- Dallas is 13-15 against the spread in 2025.
Best Player Props to Watch
| Player | Prop | Analysis |
|---|---|---|
| Paige Bueckers | Over 17.5 points | Bueckers averages over this total and should have another big game against a Fever defense that is weak on the perimeter. |
| Kelsey Mitchell | Over 20.5 points | Mitchell remains Indiana’s leading scorer and benefits from Clark’s absence as the primary ball handler. |
Advanced Metrics & Trends
- Indiana is fourth in the league in offensive rating. Dallas is seventh in the league in that department.
- The Fever rank seventh in the league in defensive rating. Dallas is 10th in the WNBA.
- Both teams play at a fast pace. Indiana is fourth in the W in pace and Dallas ranks fifth.
Fever vs Wings Model Projection
Score Projection: Indiana Fever 88 – Dallas Wings 81
Win Probability: Indiana Fever 57 %, Dallas Wings 43 %
Final Thoughts
The absence of Caitlin Clark is obviously a concern for the Fever any time she is out of action. But the Fever are playing better basketball without her lately. They should get the better of the Wings for the third time this season and I will lay the points with Indiana on the road on Friday.
