The Las Vegas Aces and the Golden State Valkyries will cap off Sunday’s WNBA schedule from Michelob Ultra Arena. The Aces are on the second game of a back-to-back in this matchup. They will look to hold off a Valkyries team that continues to exceed all expectations in their first season as a franchise. Cotninue reading to get my Valkyries vs Aces prediction for what should be an intersting matchup in the desert.
Our Valkyries vs Aces Pick
- Pick: Valkyries +5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Golden State Valkyries @ Las Vegas Aces
- Date & Time: Sunday, August 3, 2025, 6:00 p.m. ET
- Venue: Michelob ULTRA Arena, Paradise, NV
- Broadcast: WNBA League Pass
Valkyries vs Aces Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Aces –5 | Valkyries +170, Aces –205 | 156.5 |
Key Storylines
Golden State is missing All‑Star forward Kayla Thornton for the season after knee surgery. But the Valkyries are putting things together nicely on their current road trip. Golden State has won three straight games away from Chase Center. That includes their most recent triumph on Friday over the Chicago Sky. Golden State will need to figure out a way to limit A’ja Wilson if they want a chance at a fourth straight win on Sunday.
Las Vegas will play for the second day in a row when they host the Valkyries on Sunday. The Aces will have played the Minnesota Lynx on Saturday and will need to turn around and face the surging Valkyries on a tight turnaround. Depth has been an issue for the Aces for most of this season. That could be a problem on a back-to-back as the Aces may not be able to afford to rest any of their key players the way many other top teams could.
Head-to‑Head & Betting Trends
- These teams have split their first two meetings this season.
- The home team has won both games played between these teams in 2025.
- Golden State has scored 95+ points in each of their games against Vegas this year.
- Golden State is 6-9 on the road coming into this game in the desert.
Advanced Metrics & Trends
- Golden State is 17-10 against the spread this year after covering against the Sky on Friday.
- The Valkyries rank fourth in the WNBA in defensive rating this season.
- Golden State plays with the slowest pace in the WNBA this year and will try to slow the Aces down.
Valkyries vs Aces Model Projection
Score Projection: Golden State 80 – Las Vegas 83
Win Probability: Golden State 41%, Las Vegas 59%
Final Thoughts
I think that we will get a close game here. Las Vegas will not be helped by having to play for a second straight day. Their lack of depth could very well cost them this game against a Valkyries team that is better than the sum of its parts. I will take the points with Golden State here with the expectation that Vegas wins a one-possession game at home.
