The Golden State Valkyries hit the road on Tuesday, June 17, 2025, facing the Dallas Wings at College Park Center in Arlington, Texas. Coming off three straight wins to improve to 5‑5, the expansion Valkyries aim to extend their hot streak. Dallas, by contrast, sits at 1‑11 and is searching for its first win in a long time. Continue reading to get my Golden State Valkyries vs Dallas Wings prediction before this game gets started.
Our Golden State Valkyries vs Dallas Wings Pick
- Spread: Valkyries +2.5
- Total: Under 163.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Golden State Valkyries @ Dallas Wings
- Date & Time: Tuesday, June 17, 2025, 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: College Park Center, Arlington, TX
- Broadcast: WNBA League Pass
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Dallas −2.5 | Dallas −140 / Golden State +120 | 163.5 |
Key Storylines
- Golden State has surged to three straight wins, showing resilience despite missing several EuroBasket players.
- The Dallas Wings are having a nightmare of a season, entering this game at 1-11 and in the midst of a seven-game losing streak.
- Dallas has yet to win a home game this season, entering this game with an 0-5 record on their home floor.
- There will be some intrigue around the Valkyries roster, as players like Kaitlyn Chen and Aerial Powers aim to provide reinforcements after their Eurobasket departures.
- Paige Bueckers continues to lead Dallas with 17.4 PPG, but the team needs more consistent shot-making from Arike Ogunbowale to be more competitive as this season goes on.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- This will be the first meeting between the two franchises.
- Dallas is a disappointing 1‑11 straight up and 4‑8 against the spread, with late-game struggles in close losses.
- Golden State is 5‑5 straight up and an impressive 7-3 ATS. Their three-game winning streak includes wins over elite teams, including Las Vegas and Seattle.
- Home/Road splits: Dallas is 0‑5 at home, while Golden State is 2-3 on the road.
- Dallas is 6-6 on over/unders this season, while the Valkyries are 6-4 to the under in their first 10 games as a franchise.
Best Player Props to Watch
| Player | Prop | Analysis |
|---|---|---|
| Paige Bueckers | Over 18.5 PTS | She’s finding her footing nicely in her first season as a pro and the Wings need a big night from her to break their losing streak. |
| Veronica Burton | Over 5.5 Assists | Burton has had six or more assists in three straight games as the Valkyries’ offense has come together over the last few games. |
Advanced Metrics & Trends
- Efficiency: Golden State ranks 11th in offensive rating this year, but a game against the Wings could help them pick things up further.
- Defense: Dallas ranks 11th in the 13-team WNBA in defensive rating.
- Pace: Dallas plays at the second-fastest pace in the W, while Golden State ranks fifth, meaning we could have an up-and-down game here.
- Mismatches: Dallas’ guard group should be able to get the shots they want against the Valkyries, but the question will be whether or not those shots go in.
Golden State Valkyries vs Dallas Wings Model Prediction
- Score Projection: Golden State 81 – Dallas 78
- Win Probability: Golden State 56%, Dallas 44%
Final Thoughts
Golden State arrives in Arlington with momentum, some decent depth, and lineups that have shown promise recently. Dallas has struggled to close games and lacks bench firepower. Expect Golden State to keep it close and grab their fourth straight win in a game that will continue to showcase Dallas’ struggles in year one with Paige Bueckers as the face of the franchise.
