The Dallas Wings and Los Angeles Sparks will meet on Wednesday night at Crypto.com Arena. The Sparks are in the thick of the WNBA playoff race and will look for an important win at home. Before Dallas and Los Angeles do battle in Southern California, continue reading to get my Wings vs Sparks prediction for this important Western Conference matchup.
Our Wings vs Sparks Pick
- Pick: Los Angeles Sparks -7.5
- Confidence: 4/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Dallas Wings @ Los Angeles Sparks
- Date & Time: August 20, 2025, 10:00 PM ET
- Venue: Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA
- Broadcast: KFAA and SportsNet LA
Wings vs Sparks Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| LA –7.5 | Wings +260, Sparks –325 | 180.5 |
Key Storylines
- The Sparks are under pressure to stay in playoff contention. They enter this game in ninth place in the WNBA standings and will look to help their chances of making the playoffs.
- Dallas continues to lean on rookie Paige Bueckers. She is averaging 18.8 PPG and is the prohibitive favorite to win the league’s Rookie of the Year award.
- Arike Ogunbowale is dealing with a knee injury and her status is in doubt for this matchup. Los Angeles is mostly healthy going into this contest.
- The Sparks have a losing record at home and the Wings have a losing record on the road. Something has to give in this contest!
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- The Sparks are 2-0 against the Wings this season.
- Both of LA’s wins over the Wings have come in Dallas and this will be their first meeting in LA in 2025.
- The Wings are 4-13 on the road this season.
- The Sparks are 6-10 at home.
Best Player Props to Watch
| Player | Prop | Analysis |
|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Plum | Over 19.5 points | Plum scored 28 earlier in the year against the Wings and leads the Sparks at 20.4 PPG. |
| Dearica Hamby | Over 7.5 rebounds | Hamby grabbed 10 boards in her last game and consistently competes on the glass. |
Advanced Metrics & Trends
- The Sparks are fourth in the WNBA in offensive rating and 11th in defensive rating.
- Dallas is ninth in the WNBA in offensive rating and 10th in defensive rating.
- Both teams play at a fast pace. The Sparks are third in the WNBA in pace and the Wings rank fourth.
Wings vs Sparks Model Projection
Score Projection: Dallas Wings 83 – Los Angeles Sparks 93
Win Probability: Dallas Wings 25%, Los Angeles Sparks 75%
Final Thoughts
The Sparks have been a better basketball team than the Wings this season. The difference in offenses is stark between these teams. That should be especially true with Arike Ogunbowale banged up for Dallas. Add in the fact that LA is still playing for a spot in the playoffs and I think that the Sparks have no reason not to roll in this matchup. I will lay the points with the Sparks in this Western Conference matchup.
