The Dallas Wings will visit the Las Vegas Aces on Sunday afternoon. The Aces are looking to bolster their playoff hopes with a win at home against one of the worst teams in the league. Dallas’ goal in this game is to continue building positive things for the future behind Rookie of the Year favorite Paige Bueckers. Before tip-off in Las Vegas, you can continue reading to get my Wings vs Aces prediction below.
Our Wings vs Aces Pick
- Pick: Las Vegas Aces –10.5
- Confidence: 3/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Dallas Wings @ Las Vegas Aces
- Date & Time: August 17, 2025, 3:30 p.m. ET
- Venue: Michelob ULTRA Arena, Las Vegas, NV
- Broadcast: ABC and ESPN+
Wings vs Aces Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Wings +10.5 / Aces –10.5 | Wings +400 / Aces –535 | 168.5 |
Key Storylines
- The Las Vegas Aces are surging at the right time. They are winners of their last six games. Their offense runs through A’ja Wilson and the decision to play Jewell Loyd off the bench has paid dividends so far.
- The Dallas Wings are 9–25 and clearly out of playoff contention. Paige Bueckers leads the team in what has been a very successful rookie season for her. But the team around her is lacking and could struggle to contain Wilson.
- The Aces are firmly in playoff contention. They have moved up to fifth place in the standings and every win moves them closer to clinching a spot in the upcoming postseason.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- Las Vegas leads the season series 3–0. The first two Aces wins over Dallas came by single-digits. But the Aces beat Dallas by 26 in Arlington in their most recent meeting.
- The Wings are 4-12 away from home this season.
- Las Vegas is 11-5 at home for the year.
Best Player Props to Watch
| Player | Prop | Analysis |
|---|---|---|
| A’ja Wilson | Over 23.5 Points | Wilson has shot 50% or better in both games she’s played in against the Wings this season. |
| Paige Bueckers | Under 18.5 Points | The Aces have been improving on defense and they could slow Bueckers down in this contest. |
Advanced Metrics & Trends
- The Aces are sixth in the WNBA in offensive rating and Dallas is ninth in that department.
- Both teams are in the bottom five in the W in defensive rating and the team that gets stops in this game will have the inside track to a win.
Wings vs Aces Model Projection
Score Projection: Wings 80 – Aces 93
Win Probability: Wings 20%, Aces 80%
Final Thoughts
I think this could end up being the most lopsided game in the WNBA on Sunday. The Aces are dialed in and trending in the right direction as they look to lock up a playoff spot. I expect them to hammer the Wings by double-digits here as the two-time champions could end the day in the top four in the standings with a win.
