The Chicago Sky head to San Francisco on Friday, June 27 to take on the Golden State Valkyries in an inter-conference showdown at the Chase Center. The Sky are in the middle of a rebuilding year, hoping to build on a win in their last game, while the Valkyries continue to surprise in their first season in the WNBA. Here, I break down this matchup from Chase Center and give you my Chicago Sky vs Golden State Valkyries prediction.
Our Chicago Sky vs Golden State Valkyries Pick
- Pick: Under 157
- Confidence: ★★★★☆ (4/5)
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Chicago Sky @ Golden State Valkyries
- Date & Time: Friday, June 27, 10:00 PM ET
- Venue: Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
- Broadcast: ION
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Golden State -8.5 | GSV -380 / CHI +300 | 157 |
Key Storylines
- The Golden State Valkyries have been a great story this season. They are 7-7 coming into this contest, which is way better than where they were expected to be in their first season in the WNBA. The Valkyries’ home-court advantage is one of the best in the league, which they will look to take advantage of here.
- The Sky are coming off of a 97–86 victory over the LA Sparks, breaking a three-game losing streak with Angel Reese going for 13 points, 17 rebounds, and 6 assists. The question for Chicago will be whether or not they can perform that well on the road.
- Golden State is navigating roster upheaval due to several EuroBasket absences, including Temi Fagbenlé and Julie Vanloo. However, players such as Carla Leite and Laeticia Amihere have stepped up and made the most of the extra minutes that have been made available.
- Chicago continues to feel the loss of veteran Courtney Vandersloot, who suffered a season-ending ACL tear on June 8. The playmaking void she left burdens the rest of the team’s guards to get everyone involved without turning it over.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- This will be the first regular-season collision between the Sky and Valkyries.
- Chicago is 6-8 against the spread so far this year, while Golden State is 10-4 ATS.
- The total has stayed under in 8 of Chicago’s 14 games. Golden State has had 9 of their 14 games go under.
- Chicago is 2-6 on the road this season, and Golden State is 5–3 at home.
Best Player Props to Watch
| Player | Prop | Analysis |
|---|---|---|
| Angel Reese (CHI) | Over 11.5 Rebounds | She pulled down 17 rebounds last game and should have another big night on the glass agaisnt an undersized Valkyries team. |
| Kayla Thornton (GSW) | Over 14.5 Points | Averaging just under 15 points per game, Thornton should take advantage of the lack of consistent perimeter defending by Chicago. |
Advanced Metrics & Trends
- Offense: Both teams are in the bottom four in the WNBA in offensive rating (GSW 10th, CHI 12th).
- Defense: The Valkyries are 4th in defensive rating, Chicago ranks 12th out of 13 WNBA teams.
- Pace: The Sky rank 6th in pace, while the Valkyries will try to slow things down, ranking 10th.
- Potential Mismatches: Reese and Kamilla Cardoso could have a big night against Golden State’s short-handed frontcourt.
Chicago Sky vs Golden State Valkyries Model Projection
Score Projection: Golden State 80 – Chicago 72
Win Probability: Golden State 67%, Chicago 33%
Final Thoughts
Friday night’s game sets up as a chance for Golden State to flex its home-court muscle against a struggling Sky squad. Chicago’s double-big lineup is promising, but their porous defense and lack of guard contributions make them a risky pick on the road. Golden State has the better defense and will have another huge crowd to propel them to the finish line. I’ll take the under here in what should be another low-scoring Valkyries victory.
