Two of the worst teams in the WNBA will do battle on Wednesday night when the Connecticut Sun host the Chicago Sky. These are two of the three teams yet to reach 10 wins this season. But someone has to win in this contest from Mohegan Sun Arena. Here, I break down this contest in the betting markets and make my Sky vs Sun prediction for Wednesday.
Our Sky vs Sun Prediction
- Pick: Connecticut Sun -1.5
- Confidence: ★★★☆☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Chicago Sky @ Connecticut Sun
- Date & Time: August 13, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Mohegan Sun Arena, Uncasville, CT
- Broadcast: WNBA League Pass
Sky vs Sun Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Sun –1.5 | Sky +105 / Sun –125 | 157.5 |
Key Storylines
- Connecticut has lost five straight games and aims to break the skid on their home court.
- Chicago is missing star forward Angel Reese and Connecticut forward Tina Charles is listed as day-to-day on their injury report. The health of both frontcourt stars will be important in deciding this game.
- These teams are both headed to this year’s draft lottery. But the Sky have traded their pick to the Lynx and the Sun have traded their pick to the Sky. Therefore, it might be in Chicago’s best interest to win this game for a number of reasons.
- The Sun have home-court advantage. But they have struggled at home and simply playing at Mohegan Sun Arena might not be enough to help them win this game.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- The Sky won the first meeting between these teams 78-66 in Connecticut on June 15.
- These teams will play three more times between now and the end of the regular season.
- Chicago is 3-12 on the road this season.
- Connecticut is 4-11 at home in 2025.
Best Player Props to Watch
| Player | Prop | Analysis |
|---|---|---|
| Tina Charles (Sun) | Over 15.5 Points | She could have a big game without Angel Reese in the Chicago lineup. Bettors should make sure Charles is playing before betting on her. |
| Marina Mabrey (Sun) | Over 2.5 Threes | Mabrey is going to shoot at a high volume and should make at least three threes. |
Advanced Metrics & Trends
These are the bottom two teams in the WNBA in offensive rating, defensive rating, and net rating. The Sky are 12th out of 13 teams in all three of those categories. The Sun are 13th in all three of those areas. The first game between these teams failed to reach 150 total points and both offenses will need to step up to put more points on the board in this second meeting.
Sky vs Sun Model Projection
Score Projection: Chicago Sky 78 – Connecticut Sun 80
Win Probability: Chicago Sky 46%, Connecticut Sun 54%
Final Thoughts
Betting on either of these teams is clearly a risk with how bad both teams have played this season. But one of them has to win and I think that we will see the Sun get the job done to even up the season series at a game apiece. Connecticut was competitive against the Liberty in their last two home games and they should be able to play well at home against a much worse opponent here.
