This Atlanta Dream will visit the Dallas Wings in a Wednesday night showdown in the WNBA. The Dream are playing on the second night of a back-to-back in this game and will look to rebound from an upset loss in their last outing. They will look to get back on track against a Wings team that has struggled but is coming off of a win over the defending champion New York Liberty. Here, I break down this contest and give you my Dream vs Wings prediction.
Our Dream vs Wings Pick
- Pick: Wings +6
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Atlanta Dream @ Dallas Wings
- Date & Time: July 30, 2025, 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: College Park Center, Arlington, TX
- Broadcast: ESPN3
Dream vs Wings Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Dream -6 | Dream -260 / Wings +205 | 165 |
Key Storylines
- Atlanta will play the second game of a back‑to‑back here. They lost at home to the Golden State Valkyries on Tuesday night and will look to bounce back here.
- Dream guard Rhyne Howard is out with a knee injury. Dallas is without Ty Harris for the rest of the season and Maddy Siegrist for at least this contest.
- Dallas beat the New York Liberty by 10 points in their last game. They may not be in position to contend for a playoff spot but that win was an encouraging sign for the Wings.
- Paige Bueckers and Arike Ogunbowale form a potent backcourt duo for Dallas. Bueckers leads the team with 18.2 points and 5.5 assists per game.
- The Dream dropped to fifth place in the WNBA standings with their loss to Golden State and will look to avoid falling further behind the top four here.
Head‑to‑Head & Betting Trends
- These teams have split their first two meetings of the 2025 season.
- The home team is 2-0 in the previous games between these teams.
- Atlanta is 14-12 against the spread this season.
- Dallas is 12-15 against the spread for the year.
Advanced Metrics & Trends
- The Dream rank fourth in the WNBA in offensive rating. Dallas is seventh in the league in that category.
- Atlanta ranks sixth in the W in defensive rating. Dallas is 10th out of 13 teams in that department.
- Dallas ranks fourth in the league in pace and will try to speed the Dream up. Atlanta is 11th in pace and will play very deliberately with fatigue being a concern on a back-to-back.
Dream vs Wings Model Projection
Score Projection: Atlanta Dream 81 – Dallas Wings 77
Win Probability: Atlanta Dream 78%, Dallas Wings 22%
Final Thoughts
Atlanta is the better team on both ends of the floor going into this matchup. But they are also dealing with a key injury to Rhyne Howard while playing at a rest disadvantage. The Dream should still be able to win this game, but I’m going to take the points with the Wings in what should be a close one from College Park Center.
