England and Brazil are two of the best soccer-playing countries on the planet. On Friday night in Philadelphia, clubs from those countries will face off in the Club World Cup semifinals, as Palmeiras faces Chelsea. Palmeiras won a Brazilian derby with Botafogo in the Round of 16, while Chelsea needed extra time to beat Benfica. Here, I’ll break down this match from a betting standpoint and give you my Palmeiras vs Chelsea prediction.
Our Palmeiras vs Chelsea Pick
- Pick: Chelsea moneyline (+110)
- Confidence: ★★★☆☆
- Bonus Bets For the Match: Use bet365 bonus code ATSBONUS to bet $5 and get $150 in bonus bets for this match, whether your first bet wins or loses!
Palmeiras vs Chelsea Match Preview
I have been pleasantly surprised with the performance of South American sides at this Club World Cup. Palmeiras has been a big reason for that, entering this match without suffering a loss in the tournament. Palmeiras’ last win was probably more gratifying than winning the title could be, as they defeated Brazilian rivals Botafogo in extra time. Palmeiras has allowed just two goals in this tournament, both to Lionel Messi’s Inter Miami, but they will be tested against a Premier League club in this match.
Chelsea also went to extra time in the Round of 16. They dismantled Benfica 4‑1 after extra time, but I urge you to remember that match was much closer than the final score would indicate. Chelsea had a 1-0 lead late in the 90 minutes but conceded a late equalizer to the Portuguese side. And while Chelsea ran away with the match in extra time, they will need to be sharper when it comes to closing out this game if they want to see the semifinals.
Betting Insights
- Match Winner (Moneyline): Chelsea are favorites at +110, while Palmeiras sit at +285 and the 90-minute draw is +225.
- Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Bookmakers favor the under with odds of -150, with the over at +120.
- Both Teams to Score: Yes is -110, No is -115.
Palmeiras vs Chelsea Prediction
Chelsea finally showed signs of life with their attack in extra time against Benfica. To win a Chelsea moneyline bet, the English giants will have to win in 90 minutes. I expect that to happen, as the English side should control possession and exploit Palmeiras’ compromised back line, even though Palmeiras has looked strong against weaker opposition to this point in the tournament.
Palmeiras vs Chelsea Model Projection
Score Projection: Palmeiras 1 – Chelsea 2
Win Probability: Palmeiras 25%, Chelsea 46%, Draw 29%
Final Thoughts
Back Chelsea to win at around +110, consider Liam Delap to score at +180, and expect a 2‑1 final score in favor of the English side. A bet on both teams to score could also be worth placing, as Chelsea’s defending has been suspect even when their attack has been on point. Bettors can combine these in same game parlays for greater returns.
