The FIFA Club World Cup semifinal between Fluminense and Chelsea is set for July 8 at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ. Chelsea took down one Brazilian side in the quarterfinals and will look to eliminate another one here. Before kickoff in this semifinal match, continue reading to get my Fluminense vs Chelsea prediction.
Our Fluminense vs Chelsea Prediction
- Pick: Chelsea moneyline (-150)
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Fluminense vs Chelsea Match Preview
Chelsea survived and advanced through the quarterfinals of the Club World Cup with a 2-1 win over Palmeiras. Cole Palmer broke his goal drought in the win, while they won the match thanks to a Palmeiras own goal in the 83rd minute. It wasn’t all positive for Chelsea, though, as they lost Liam Delap for this match after he accumulated another yellow card.
Fluminense defeated Al Hilal 2–1 in the quarterfinals of this tournament. Martinelli and Hercules scored the two goals for the Brazilian side in that match, with Hercules scoring the winner to break a 1-1 deadlock in the second half. Defense has been the key to Fluminense’s success in this tournament, as they have allowed just three goals over their five matches in the Club World Cup. Here, their defense will face its toughest test yet against a high-caliber Premier League team.
Thiago Silva will be a player to watch in this match for several reasons. First, he has been the defensive anchor of this Fluminense side throughout the tournament. On top of that, he played for Chelsea from 2020 to 2024. He will look to cost his former club a chance at the final here, while elevating his current club into the final against one of four European powers left on the other side of the bracket.
Betting Insights
- Moneyline: Chelsea favoured at -150, Fluminense is +425, and the draw is +275.
- To Advance: Chelsea is a heavy favorite to advance at -330, while Fluminense is +230 to make it to the final.
- Total Goals: Under 2.5 goals is -135, Over 2.5 goals is +100.
- BTTS: No -125, Yes -105
- H2H: This is the first-ever meeting between Fluminense and Chelsea.
Fluminense vs Chelsea Prediction
I expect Chelsea to break down the Fluminense defense in the second half to take this match and reach the first final of this new era of the Club World Cup. Fluminense has been excellent defensively in this tournament with the exception of their game against Ulsan HD. But outside of their match against Dortmund, their defensive success has come largely against inferior competition to what they will see in this match. I am counting on Chelsea to win and move onto the CWC final.
Fluminense vs Chelsea Model Projection
Score Projection: Fluminense 0 – Chelsea 2
Win Probability: Fluminense 25%, Draw 20%, Chelsea 55%
