The first match of the 2025-26 Bundesliga season will take place on Friday between Bayern Munich and RB Leipzig. Bayern got back to the top of the Bundesliga table last season and will look to protect their spot at the top after an eventful summer. Before the Bundesliga kickoff, continue reading to get my Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig prediction
Our Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig Pick
- Pick: Bayern Munich win & Both Teams to Score (+120)
- Confidence: 4/5
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Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig Match Preview
Bayern Munich begin their title defence facing RB Leipzig. Bayern boast the edge in squad depth and experience. Their recent Super Cup victory highlighted that new signing Luis Diaz has settled in nicely. RB Leipzig arrive under new head coach Ole Werner. They brought in some young talent and will hope that leads to a nice bounce back after one of their worst Bundesliga seasons.
This match features a couple of teams that have had very different summers. Bayern played in the Club World Cup and did not get the typical summer of friendlies and rest. Leipzig not only didn’t play in that tournament but they also don’t have to worry about playing in Europe this year. Leipzig will be able to focus only on the Bundesliga this season and that could help them here.
Betting Insights
- Moneyline Odds: Bayern –425, Leipzig +800, Draw +500.
- Over/Under Markets: The total for the match is set at 3.5 goals. The over is juiced to -130 and the under is set at even odds.
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Odds for ‘Yes’ are -150 and ‘No’ is +115.
- Bayern is unbeaten in the last four Bundesliga matches between these teams. The defending champions have won two of those four matches and the other two ended in draws.
Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig Prediction
I expect an open game from the start. Bayern’s star names will press and Leipzig’s fresh attackers will offer pace and put pressure on the Bayern defence. Leipzig will likely score but may struggle to keep pace defensively. Bayern should prevail thanks to their experience and home-field advantage.
My model projects that Bayern will win this game and likely do so by multiple goals.I will take Bayern to win this match and both teams to score. Leipzig should be able to do enough to push one across even if they are eventually torn apart by the attack of the defending champions in what should be a fun match from Munich.
Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig Model Projection
- Score Projection: Bayern Munich 3 – RB Leipzig 1
- Win Probability: Bayern Munich 79%, RB Leipzig 9%, Draw 12%
