The biggest match in the Premier League this weekend is the match between Arsenal and Manchester City on Sunday. Both teams have their sights set on the top of the table this year. Arsenal enters this match in second place in the table. City is in eighth place, but are just three points away from the Gunners in the table. Before kickoff from Emirates Stadium on Sunday, continue reading to get my Arsenal vs Manchester City prediction.
Our Arsenal vs Manchester City Pick
- Pick: Arsenal to win
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Arsenal vs Manchester City Match Preview
Recent Form: Arsenal have won three of their four Premier League games so far, including commanding victories at home. They beat Nottingham Forest 3-0 and Leeds 5-0. Their only slip was a 1-0 loss at Anfield against title favourites Liverpool. Their defense has been strong, although injuries are building up. Key absences for the Gunners include Bukayo Saka, Martin Ødegaard, William Saliba, Gabriel Jesus, and Kai Havertz. Their depth has been tested but they have handled things admirably so far.
Manchester City have had an up-and-down start to their season. They won big against Wolves, lost to Brighton and Tottenham, then recovered with a 3-0 win over Manchester United last week. Their attacking options remain dangerous, led by Erling Haaland. But defensive vulnerabilities have been persistent, especially in tougher away fixtures. This is a chance for City to get back on track in the title race.
Head-to-Head & Psychological Edge: Arsenal beat Manchester City 5-1 in their most recent encounter. City generally has better all-time stats, but Arsenal has not lost to City in either of the last two Premier League seasons. Because this match is at the Emirates, that gives Arsenal an extra edge. City is also looking at a shorter rest period after playing in the Champions League on Thursday, while Arsenal’s Champions League game was on Tuesday.
Betting Insights
- Match Odds (1X2): Arsenal are favored to win this match. They are -110 to get the win, while City is +290, and the draw is +265.
- Over/Under Total Goals: The over/under for this match has been set at 2.5 goals. The over is slightly favored at -130, while the under is +100.
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Bookmakers are expecting both teams to score in this match. The Yes option in the BTTS market is -150 and the No option is +115.
Arsenal vs Manchester City Prediction
Arsenal has the advantage going into this match at the Emirates. They are well-rested compared to City and they are playing better football than City as well. I will take Arsenal to get the win in this match, casting further doubt on the direction of City at this stage of the Pep Guardiola era and moving Arsenal closer to Liverpool in the title race.
Arsenal vs Manchester City Model Projection
Score Projection: Arsenal 2 – Manchester City 1
Win Probability: Arsenal 50%, Manchester City 30%, Draw 20%