Pittsburgh Penguins vs Buffalo Sabres Pick – 3/27/2025

The Pittsburgh Penguins are set to face the Buffalo Sabres on Thursday, March 27, 2025, at 7:00 PM at KeyBank Center in Buffalo, NY. Both teams are striving to improve their standings as the season progresses.

Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Buffalo Sabres Game Preview

The Penguins enter this game with a record of 29-33-11, placing them seventh in the Metropolitan Division. They are coming off a challenging 6-1 loss to the Tampa Bay Lightning, where they were outshot 27-15. Bryan Rust scored the lone goal for Pittsburgh in that matchup. The Penguins have struggled defensively, allowing an average of 3.58 goals per game, ranking them 31st in the league. Offensively, they average 2.92 goals per game and have a power play success rate of 24.4%, placing them 10th in the NHL. Goaltender Tristan Jarry, who has a career save percentage of .910, is expected to start in net for Pittsburgh.

The Sabres hold a record of 29-35-6, positioning them eighth in the Atlantic Division. They are on a two-game winning streak, most recently securing a 3-2 victory over the Ottawa Senators. In that game, Tage Thompson scored the game-winning goal, marking his 35th of the season. Buffalo averages 3.10 goals per game, ranking 12th in the league, but their defense has been a concern, allowing 3.50 goals per game, placing them 29th. Their power play conversion rate stands at 17.9%, ranking 27th. Goaltender Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen, with a career save percentage of .899, is anticipated to start for the Sabres.

Betting Insights

As of the latest available information, the betting odds for this matchup are as follows:

• Moneyline: Penguins -130, Sabres +110
• Over/Under: 6 goals

These odds suggest that the Penguins are slight favorites, despite their recent struggles. Bettors should consider the following factors:

• Recent Performance: The Penguins have lost three of their last four games, including a significant defeat to Tampa Bay. Conversely, the Sabres have won four of their last six games, indicating a positive trend.
• Home vs. Away Records: Buffalo has a home record of 18-14-3, while Pittsburgh's road record stands at 11-19-6, highlighting the Sabres' stronger performance on home ice.
• Defensive Concerns: Both teams have struggled defensively, with the Penguins allowing 3.58 goals per game and the Sabres 3.50. This could lead to a high-scoring game, making the over on the total goals a consideration.

Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Buffalo Sabres Prediction

Considering the current form and statistics of both teams, the Buffalo Sabres appear to have the edge in this matchup. Their recent victories and solid home performance contrast with the Penguins' recent struggles and poor road record. Additionally, the Sabres' offensive momentum, led by players like Tage Thompson, could exploit the Penguins' defensive vulnerabilities.

Therefore, the prediction for this game is a victory for the Buffalo Sabres. Bettors might consider taking the Sabres on the moneyline at +110 for value. Given both teams' defensive issues, wagering on the over 6 goals could also be a prudent choice.

As always, it's important to monitor any last-minute changes, such as injuries or lineup adjustments, before placing bets. Engaging in responsible betting practices is essential.