Philadelphia Flyers vs Washington Capitals Prediction – 3/20/2025

The Philadelphia Flyers are set to face the Washington Capitals on Thursday, March 20, 2025, at 7:00 p.m. at Capital One Arena. This matchup features two teams on divergent paths: the Flyers are struggling to find form, while the Capitals are solidifying their position atop the Metropolitan Division.

Philadelphia Flyers vs. Washington Capitals Game Preview

The Flyers enter this contest with a 28-33-8 record, placing them at the bottom of the Metropolitan Division. Their recent form is concerning, having lost seven of their last eight games, including consecutive shutout defeats to the Carolina Hurricanes (5-0) and the Tampa Bay Lightning (2-0). Offensively, the team has been lackluster, averaging just 2.71 goals per game. Travis Konecny leads the team with 65 points, while Matvei Michkov has contributed 47 points. However, the supporting cast has struggled to provide consistent production.

Defensively, the Flyers are allowing 3.35 goals per game. Goaltender Samuel Ersson, expected to start, holds a 19-13-4 record with a 3.02 goals-against average (GAA) and an .886 save percentage. His performance against the Capitals has been subpar, with a 1-3 record, a 3.22 GAA, and an .866 save percentage.

In contrast, the Capitals boast a 45-15-8 record, leading the Metropolitan Division. They are on a two-game winning streak, including a 4-1 victory over the Detroit Red Wings. The offense is potent, averaging 3.63 goals per game. Dylan Strome and Aliaksei Protas have been instrumental, combining for 51 goals and 77 assists. The team also benefits from the contributions of Pierre-Luc Dubois, Tom Wilson, and Alexander Ovechkin, who have collectively added 82 goals and 91 assists.

Defensively, the Capitals are solid, allowing only 2.54 goals per game. Goaltender Logan Thompson is expected to start, bringing a 29-4-5 record, a 2.32 GAA, and a .916 save percentage. His track record against the Flyers is strong, with a 2-0-1 record, a 2.99 GAA, and a .905 save percentage.

Betting Insights

For those interested in wagering on this game, the Capitals are favored with a moneyline of -250, while the Flyers are at +205. The over/under is set at 5.5 goals. Notably, the Capitals have covered the -1.5 puck line in four of their last five games, and the Flyers have failed to cover the +1.5 line in seven of their last ten games. Additionally, the over has hit in seven of the Capitals' last eight home games against the Flyers following a win.

Philadelphia Flyers vs. Washington Capitals Prediction

Considering the current form and statistical disparities between the two teams, the Capitals are well-positioned to secure a decisive victory. Their offensive firepower, combined with the Flyers' defensive vulnerabilities, suggests a high-scoring game. The Capitals' recent dominance over the Flyers, including five consecutive wins, further supports this outlook. Therefore, the recommendation is to back the Capitals to cover the -1.5 puck line and to consider the over on 5.5 goals for this matchup.