Ottawa Senators

Ottawa Senators

Feb 4, 2025

Tampa Bay Lightning

Tampa Bay Lightning
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Ottawa Senators vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction & Picks 2/4/2025

The Ottawa Senators visit the Tampa Bay Lightning on February 4, 2025, at 7:00 pm EST. The opening moneyline odds from DraftKings Sportsbook have the Ottawa Senators as +145 underdogs and the Tampa Bay Lightning as -175 favorites.

The total for this clash on the ice has been set at 5.5 +102.

Overview of Ottawa Senators

The Ottawa Senators have been navigating a season full of tight contests, marked by an intense focus on developing their core. This Canadian team has faced challenges but continues to show grit on the road, often bringing unpredictability to the ice. Their offensive strategies frequently test opponents’ defenses, though consistency remains a hurdle. This matchup against Tampa Bay will be a significant test for them, especially given their current standing within the league and their aspirations for playoff contention.

Overview of Tampa Bay Lightning

The Tampa Bay Lightning, known for their relentless pace and solid home performances, are primed to exploit any defensive lapses by the Senators. As a team with a championship pedigree, their structured play and formidable attack make them a formidable adversary. Often dominant at home, the Lightning bring an aggressive style that thrives on capitalizing on turnovers and asserting pressure throughout all three periods. This season, they have tailored their strategies to maximize offensive proficiency while maintaining a resilient defense.

Betting Insights

Analyzing the odds, the Tampa Bay Lightning enter this matchup as clear favorites with a -175 moneyline, suggesting confidence in their ability to handle the Senators at home. The Senators, as +145 underdogs, offer intriguing value for bettors willing to wager on an upset. The total set at 5.5 hints at a potentially high-scoring game, reflective of both teams' offensive capabilities and the dynamic style of play each exhibits.

Key Factors

A few key factors will determine the outcome of this game. Firstly, Ottawa’s ability to stabilize their defense and manage pressure will be crucial against Tampa Bay’s aggressive attacking tactics. Secondly, Tampa Bay’s capability to exploit power play opportunities could be decisive, as the Senators have struggled at times with penalty kills. Finally, the Senators’ resilience in away games will be put to the test, requiring focus from start to finish to withstand the Lightning's home advantage.

Pick and Analysis

Given the current dynamics, the Tampa Bay Lightning appear well-positioned to secure a victory at home. Their consistency and home ice advantage make them a reliable choice against the Senators. However, Ottawa's potential to surprise should not be discounted for those seeking higher returns.

**Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning to win.**
The analysis leans towards the Lightning dominating this matchup, exploiting defensive gaps and controlling the pace of the game to secure a win. Opting for the Lightning on the moneyline, coupled with the possibility of achieving the over on total goals (5.5), seems a plausible strategy for bettors.

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free NHL picks here.

Consensus

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+145
24% OTT
-175
76% TB

Total Pick Consensus

5.5/-105
9% UN
5.5/-115
91% OV

Puckline Pick Consensus

+1.5/-180
0% OTT
-1.5/+150
0% TB

Stats

  • Team Stats
  • Team Records
  • Goalies
  • Recent Starts
OTT
Team Stats
TB
152
Goals For
176
141
Goals Agst
142
3.32
PP For GM
2.9
.77
PP Goals GM
.76
23.30
PP%
26.35
2.89
PP Agst GM
2.57
.62
PP Agst Goals GM
.47
78.43
PK%
81.68
9.0
PIM GM
8.7
10.3
oPIM GM
9.4
OTT
Team Records
TB
29-20-4
Overall
27-20-4
1-1
Shootout
1-1
6-3
Overtime
4-3
16-7-2
Home
16-7-2
13-13-2
Road
11-13-2
13-10-3
EAS
12-10-4
16-10-1
WES
15-10-0
7-4-1
ATL
3-9-0
6-6-2
MET
9-1-4
8-4-0
CEN
7-6-0
8-6-1
PAC
8-4-0
14-4-4
≤1
7-7-4
10-8-0
≥3
17-6-0
5-4-0
Oct
7-3-0
5-8-1
Nov
5-6-2
9-3-1
Dec
8-3-0
8-5-2
Jan
7-8-1
2-0-0
Feb
0-0-1
0-0-0
Mar
0-0-0
0-0-0
Apr
0-0-0
L. Ullmark
A. Vasilevskiy
6
GP
10
5
GS
10
2-3-0
W-L-T/O
6-4-0
13
Goals Allowed
24
2.62
GAA
2.54
132
Shots Against
256
.902
SV%
.906
0
SO
1
3
Quality Starts
5
.600
QS%
.500
2
Bad Starts
3
97
Goals All.%
92
0.45
Goals Sv Above Avg
2.08

L. Ullmark

Date
Opp
W/L
GA
SA
SV
SV%
5/4/22 CAR
Kochetkov N/A
L2-5 N/A
4
33
29
.879
5/2/22 CAR
Raanta N/A
L1-5 N/A
4
24
20
.833
4/28/22 BUF
Tokarski N/A
W5-0 N/A
0
37
37
1.000
4/26/22 FLA
Bobrovsky N/A
W4-2 N/A
2
21
19
.905
4/23/22 NYR
Shesterkin N/A
W3-1 N/A
1
31
30
.968

A. Vasilevskiy

Date
Opp
W/L
GA
SA
SV
SV%
5/4/22 TOR
Campbell N/A
W5-3 N/A
3
34
31
.912
5/2/22 TOR
Campbell N/A
L0-5 N/A
5
32
27
.844
4/29/22 NYI
Sorokin N/A
W6-4 N/A
4
37
33
.892
4/26/22 CBJ
Merzlikins N/A
W4-1 N/A
1
21
20
.952
4/24/22 FLA
Bobrovsky N/A
W8-4 N/A
4
39
35
.897

Odds

  • MoneyLine
  • PuckLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
OTT TB
OTT TB
Consensus
+148
-182
+145
-174
+150
-180
+145
-175
+142
-172
+146
-176
+148
-182
+140
-175
+150
-178
+152
-180
+145
-175
+145
-175
Open
Current
Book
OTT TB
OTT TB
Consensus
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+140)
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+140)
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+152)
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+146)
+1.5 (-186)
-1.5 (+140)
+1.5 (-186)
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-178)
-1.5 (+140)
+1.5 (-178)
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-175)
-1.5 (+140)
+1.5 (-175)
-1.5 (+145)
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
5.5 (-115)
5.5 (-105)
5.5 (-117)
5.5 (-102)
5.5 (-115)
5.5 (-105)
5.5 (-115)
5.5 (-105)
5.5 (-122)
5.5 (+100)
5.5 (-118)
5.5 (-104)
6.5 (-106)
6.5 (-115)
5.5 (-124)
5.5 (+102)
5.5 (-120)
5.5 (+100)
5.5 (-115)
5.5 (-105)
5.5 (-120)
5.5 (+100)
5.5 (-118)
5.5 (-102)

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